TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,588
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,641

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,588 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1495…d3f9backed Yes62c1,395$860 inLost-$86015048%72 W · 78 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+25.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No38c964.73$367 inWon+$598.132,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No39c795.92$312 inWon+$484.2533049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No38c533.29$205 inWon+$328.6490863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf137…50b2backed Yes62c533.29$329 inLost-$328.641973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed No40c200$80 inWon+$12030544.6%136 W · 169 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Yes60c200$120 inLost-$1208451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes59c199.99$118 inLost-$11856050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked No38c193.55$74 inWon+$12015753.5%84 W · 73 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed No40c190.52$76 inWon+$114.383964.1%25 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.21per pick44cpaid+56.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed Yes60c164.68$99 inLost-$98.813557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes62c153.55$95 inLost-$95.221848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac65…cfe6backed No41c126.83$52 inWon+$74.833473.5%25 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+28.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0289…dfd1backed Yes60c83.03$50 inLost-$50850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20be…6508backed Yes61c83$51 inLost-$50.6320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf04c…bdf3backed Yes62c79.56$49 inLost-$49.3340%0 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No67c77.87$53 inWon+$25.3142842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb602…1ab1backed Yes60c75$45 inLost-$451136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed No41c60.98$25 inWon+$35.9866046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked No40c60$24 inWon+$3610943.1%47 W · 62 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Yes22c51.14$11 inLost-$11.253551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bce…1dd8backed Yes60c41.17$25 inLost-$24.720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No39c40.98$16 inWon+$251,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f1f…6206backed Yes44c40$18 inLost-$17.61723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…ca45backed Yes61c32.79$20 inLost-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb42…7e5cbacked Yes63c31.75$20 inLost-$202343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No37c29.9$11 inWon+$18.733356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31d1…f516backed Yes60c24.95$15 inLost-$14.9720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83ed…3851backed Yes63c16.34$10 inLost-$10.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.