TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,108
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,120

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,108 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf28e…cab2backed Knicks38c31,938$12,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,801.4556646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Spurs62c19,100$11,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,826.9128056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs46c9,596$4,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,404.2230551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks69c8,548$5,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,685.452,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks52c7,231$3,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,477.0355251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Spurs47c5,814$2,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,753.3210944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs46c5,530$2,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,561.221,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs34c4,487$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.7164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Spurs23c4,350$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.52441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs31c3,458$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.2925352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Knicks39c3,288$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,998.4734255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks69c3,133$2,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.268,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Knicks38c2,019$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.081,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9802,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Spurs48c1,547$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.035349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs24c1,277$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.151,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks61c1,064$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.891,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Knicks52c1,043$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.648637.2%32 W · 54 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Spurs32c881$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.9213161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs37c841.72$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.532,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks60c804.69$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.493148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc04…1c43backed Spurs32c781.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010548.6%51 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5715…1616backed Spurs37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006333.3%21 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+50.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed Knicks53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2353878.9%30 W · 8 L+13.2wins+0.35per pick44cpaid+73.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Spurs42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d90…42bebacked Knicks70c484.29$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.29450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Knicks54c462.08$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.5619548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs35c431.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2953842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks69c422.05$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.831,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks39c408.52$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.4942842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks68c400$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1281,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Knicks53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3615246.7%71 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks65c367.6$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.471,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Knicks47c350$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18568838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9318643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Knicks38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1864663%29 W · 17 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+43.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Spurs28c299.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846619.7%13 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Spurs43c256.52$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0227553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Knicks68c250$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.084355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Spurs42c248.86$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.691553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Spurs25c245.87$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5830842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Knicks60c231.6$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6711258.9%66 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks68c224.84$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.951,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks68c221.61$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.811,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Knicks40c216.07$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4137652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Knicks72c212$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.62,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed Knicks55c200$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9116547.3%78 W · 87 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Spurs32c194.57$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2610650%53 W · 53 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3698…7160backed Spurs31c188.71$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584151.2%21 W · 20 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Spurs44c186.04$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4260250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Spurs46c180$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.215044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb772…ed49backed Spurs39c177.23$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Spurs41c168.7$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709949.5%49 W · 50 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Spurs31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505058%29 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+41.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Knicks70c142.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6511239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0e15…8ea4backed Spurs50c142.44$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.228563.5%54 W · 31 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Spurs45c139.33$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3525340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Knicks38c139$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.182,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Spurs40c125.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.133461.8%21 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Spurs31c121.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2122753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Spurs45c111.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5989048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Knicks56c104.02$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2378639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Knicks58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4214551%74 W · 71 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c0c…b626backed Spurs31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3115927%43 W · 116 L-15.4wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Knicks70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3025657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Spurs30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014845.9%68 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Knicks68c99.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Spurs29c99.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2956348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Spurs58c99.96$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.562133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Knicks73c99.24$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.797360.3%44 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Spurs57c98.47$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1352861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Knicks74c96$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.645445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Spurs39c92.75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2921848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Knicks46c86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4416429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3894…decfbacked Spurs51c83.62$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.655350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked Knicks69c81.96$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.412958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17be…e5b4backed Spurs56c80.82$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.16955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7243…e409backed Spurs29c73.14$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.341963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x000a…6cf7backed Spurs46c68.07$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.312152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Spurs58c66$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2836051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Knicks69c65.21$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2210548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Knicks51c60.41$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7349247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Spurs40c54.22$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5317237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Spurs40c52.2$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.889748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38dd…e656backed Spurs39c51.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203644.4%16 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc85…aa54backed Spurs46c50.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.021656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked Spurs33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.53946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Knicks41c47.59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.083066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba17…5c67backed Knicks38c46.63$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.912839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Spurs39c42.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3659255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Spurs42c39.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6615648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Spurs39c38.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.821953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Spurs39c36.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.133030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1992…30e2backed Spurs47c35.49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.745839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8428…b41fbacked Spurs60c34.45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.622035%7 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-38.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd148…6b52backed Spurs31c34.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.563240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Knicks70c34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.243052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x038f…ecc5backed Spurs42c33.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142766.7%18 W · 9 L+6.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+52.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xe046…9bc6backed Spurs39c30.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.854961.2%30 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c78…e701backed Spurs38c26.78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.222955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.