TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Knicks, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$297,207
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$287,875

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,207 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf284…b9f9backed Knicks43c107,276$46,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,217.9318651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Spurs57c89,703$51,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,598.610459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Knicks42c23,193$9,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,742.9910944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Spurs56c21,463$12,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,443.9326753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks43c18,611$7,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,943.8455251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Knicks43c15,426$6,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,633.3435744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Knicks44c11,364$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0009725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Knicks33c7,500$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,474.9918044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs56c6,542$3,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,898.016,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Knicks42c5,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,119.9958740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs57c4,753$2,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,062.1664948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Spurs57c3,435$1,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.1815850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Knicks43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29023742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Knicks57c2,957$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.491,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Spurs57c2,734$1,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.834465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks26c2,598$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.318,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Knicks43c2,199$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.9465939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Knicks43c2,086$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.8586641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Knicks43c1,794$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.4232045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Knicks43c1,600$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68814148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks43c1,587$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.481,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0a1…3e3dbacked Knicks57c1,530$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.57666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+112.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Spurs57c1,371$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.6911447.4%54 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs72c1,329$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.051,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee6…4050backed Knicks45c1,269$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.41450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks27c1,233$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.811,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs74c1,170$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.151,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb644…d7c1backed Spurs72c1,110$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.42837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-40%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Spurs55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45035049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spurs56c982.36$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.0584443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks43c932.71$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.141,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Spurs56c912.03$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.298333.7%28 W · 55 L-12.7wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Knicks33c909.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks43c905.33$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.7766352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Spurs55c787.95$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.5825651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Knicks43c720$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.612146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Knicks58c687.69$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Spurs72c615.61$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3736051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Spurs44c594.14$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.52665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+30.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Knicks44c570$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.86258.1%36 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs68c561$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.142,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Knicks29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14556043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2104,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Spurs47c499.69$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.161,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Knicks43c480$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.425954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Knicks44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0539…0529backed Knicks44c450$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1981936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fb1…cc29backed Knicks44c450$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1982356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e9f…ab58backed Spurs55c450$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.52166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x561b…837ebacked Spurs55c449.99$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.52259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Knicks43c430$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.934850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Knicks28c424.42$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4621848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks45c394.59$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.5725352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Spurs57c370.59$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.3580653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0542…0a81backed Knicks27c363.93$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Knicks43c361.98$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.6512450.8%63 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Spurs56c346.5$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.464047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c91…b4d2backed Knicks44c328.44$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.511315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.5wins-0.35per pick50cpaid-70.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Spurs70c319.21$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7652861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Knicks43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12968944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Knicks43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12910747.7%51 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Knicks43c262.9$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2143438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x738e…dc37backed Knicks22c244.8$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.695536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Spurs57c240$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.214039.3%55 W · 85 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6b9…b487backed Knicks45c230$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.53650%18 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks34c227.52$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2193148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Knicks44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022053.6%118 W · 102 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Spurs55c222.89$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.393543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs58c208$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3830551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Spurs67c205$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6545251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Knicks43c186$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.981,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Spurs57c180$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.49455.3%52 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed Spurs56c180$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.23275%24 W · 8 L+7.5wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs56c179$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.761,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Spurs56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5718748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs77c176$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.71,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Spurs57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xace2…8fe6backed Spurs57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8eed…cf44backed Knicks44c164.9$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.52142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Spurs55c164.89$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.21,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x831f…ee61backed Spurs71c152.11$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+85.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Spurs56c151.59$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.261253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Spurs71c151.39$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.691384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+48%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Knicks24c149.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3641227.4%113 W · 299 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+94.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Spurs65c147.22$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0760250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Knicks43c141$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6326755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c8e…22c3backed Knicks44c136.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605841.4%24 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked Knicks45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6022453.1%119 W · 105 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Knicks43c133.15$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2648852%254 W · 234 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed Spurs61c126.42$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.313837%51 W · 87 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Spurs53c125$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.755349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Spurs50c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.615044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Spurs55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Knicks43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.610148.5%49 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6de2…d0e5backed Knicks17c117.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-62.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b4…73cdbacked Knicks44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-55.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x630c…f294backed Spurs57c110$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.31573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Spurs68c106.87$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.21,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa37d…b9cebacked Spurs57c106$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.581250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Spurs56c105$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.