WNBA · resolved market
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f197554230545d83e59dd9934e8affa30b8bcda3a1081c924f46c5294750ecb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 50c | 6,772$3,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,386.21 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfa…9743backed Over | 55c | 3,326$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.04 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 1,775$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.59 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 49c | 1,083$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.12 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Over | 51c | 910$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 50c | 880$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 53c | 776.99$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 760.21$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.46 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 45c | 659.39$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 50c | 588.28$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.14 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 37c | 490.63$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.14 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 43c | 479.12$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.93 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 35c | 277.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.25 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 41c | 220.9$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.63 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3652…2c8bbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 187$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 60c | 179.45$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.29 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 65c | 155.53$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.56 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 53c | 149.88$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 54c | 146.43$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.33 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 50c | 140.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.27 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 55c | 107$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 16c | 101.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 85.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 52c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 59c | 67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 66c | 59.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 50c | 50.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 47c | 45.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 52c | 39.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Over | 66c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Over | 52c | 32.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 37c | 30.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 64 | 1.6%1 W · 63 L | -26.1wins | -0.41per pick | 42cpaid | -97.6%equal weight | 17-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b7…3852backed Over | 64c | 28.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Over | 50c | 26.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…e324backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 51c | 21.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Over | 66c | 19.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 67c | 17.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5this page
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 176.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 178.5Under won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-2.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.