WNBA · resolved market
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 178.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x345b49b88e6bc65cdd62d1cdf0cb97ec25f672ad0a373eb14a64bdaf4f60e4a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 2,177$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.44 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 37c | 1,514$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.42 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Under | 63c | 1,496$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.52 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 1,434$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.23 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8476…dc8dbacked Over | 49c | 892.43$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.46 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Under | 46c | 406.87$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.71 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 53c | 360.54$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.2 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 42c | 345.52$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.81 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 37c | 331.43$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.53 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 47c | 226.79$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.59 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 12c | 165.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 26c | 137.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 47c | 130$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 54c | 129.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Under | 75c | 120.24$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Under | 52c | 114.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 46c | 99.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 47c | 73.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 47c | 69.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Over | 47c | 62.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Over | 50c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 47c | 50.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 46c | 40.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 40.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Over | 35c | 39.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Under | 54c | 36.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 68c | 31.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1d…5ae6backed Under | 73c | 27.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x492e…d5babacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…252abacked Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 50c | 22.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 50c | 22.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Over | 68c | 21.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 67c | 18.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 178.5this page
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 176.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5Under won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-2.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.