WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcef65247f0a5709dfd2112b6406984d1dbcb37118b03a08cde2485f77f3f6612
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dallas Wingsof Las Vegas Aces, Dallas Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 17,706$9,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,322 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 9,224$4,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,335.11 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Dallas Wings | 54c | 5,800$3,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 5,375$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510.7 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 4,419$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.22 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 3,643$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.1 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 2,531$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.77 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 2,235$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.58 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 1,914$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.73 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 1,667$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.58 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 1,637$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.25 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0508…6035backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 1,243$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.59 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 1,216$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.41 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 934.3$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.12 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 843.09$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 420$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Las Vegas Aces | 10c | 389.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 359.19$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.19 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 357.67$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.53 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 283.9$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.27 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 16c | 269.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Las Vegas Aces | 35c | 196.18$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Las Vegas Aces | 18c | 181.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 170$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed3…95d7backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 157.11$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Dallas Wings | 62c | 119.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.41 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Las Vegas Aces | 12c | 119.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 108.79$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Las Vegas Aces | 38c | 101.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…35b9backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 85.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 79.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Dallas Wings | 67c | 59.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 58.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…97c4backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 57.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 53.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Dallas Wings | 67c | 50.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…e138backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 35.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…2391backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 32.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 28.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 24.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…ac46backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 23.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)this page
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 176.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 178.5Under won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-2.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.