WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5eb4c11091deede965093450985728096ddbdf714c84ce21d658d0bdf7ca2f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dallas Wingsof Las Vegas Aces, Dallas Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 1,804$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.49 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 1,479$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.68 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 1,454$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.65 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…e2abbacked Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 1,389$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dallas Wings | 67c | 1,176$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.97 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 873.67$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.31 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Dallas Wings | 47c | 674.78$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.63 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 515.03$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.11 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 34c | 506$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.58 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 505.99$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.12 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Las Vegas Aces | 15c | 494.83$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.08 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 493.76$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.12 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Las Vegas Aces | 10c | 488.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ada…d690backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 410.42$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 395.93$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.93 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Las Vegas Aces | 12c | 382$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Dallas Wings | 47c | 381.2$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.74 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Dallas Wings | 47c | 319.43$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.43 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 316$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Las Vegas Aces | 40c | 291.73$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.82 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 277.3$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.2 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…48e3backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 271.68$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 271.61$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.24 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Dallas Wings | 58c | 264.5$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.89 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 220.01$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.41 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 20c | 212$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Las Vegas Aces | 21c | 198.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Las Vegas Aces | 10c | 193.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb05e…599abacked Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 180.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.93 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 21c | 155.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 99.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 94.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Dallas Wings | 61c | 86.65$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 42c | 72.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Las Vegas Aces | 36c | 68.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 67.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 67.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 64.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 60.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 59.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 56.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 54.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dallas Wings | 66c | 53.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dallas Wings | 68c | 50.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…3503backed Dallas Wings | 63c | 41.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f33…7af9backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 35.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 32.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Dallas Wings | 48c | 31.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 23.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 22.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-2.5)this page
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 176.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 178.5Under won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.