WNBA · resolved market
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 176.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacf58fccdf361c78e28c04e9fd7e414eb10237825abe02fadd06292d344f72a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 47c | 5,267$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.2 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 55c | 5,084$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Over | 1c | 4,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 45c | 1,538$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.88 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 1,071$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.3 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 47c | 972.34$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.34 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 54c | 875.23$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.4 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…3ef9backed Under | 49c | 567.94$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.25 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 54c | 508$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.77 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 51c | 499.82$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.15 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 45c | 455.79$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.5 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 54c | 425.76$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.82 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 45c | 420$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 53c | 372.22$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.08 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 55c | 364.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435f…2de6backed Over | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Over | 55c | 242.82$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 45c | 226.71$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.79 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…1c82backed Over | 45c | 217.86$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc172…47cbbacked Under | 33c | 213.58$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 47c | 186.2$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.61 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 55c | 182.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 48c | 182.22$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 55c | 173.37$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.35 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 67c | 150.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 50c | 142.57$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.22 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 47c | 137$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Over | 68c | 131.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 47c | 125.44$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.72 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 61c | 122.87$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f2…18f1backed Under | 47c | 105.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Over | 55c | 91.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 42c | 87.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 56c | 82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 46c | 68.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Under | 50c | 65.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 48c | 65.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Under | 58c | 63.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 59c | 62.89$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 47c | 56.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 47c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 48c | 47.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…1eb1backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Under | 54c | 45.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Over | 55c | 43.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 43c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9176…d962backed Over | 24c | 41.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 55c | 30.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 73c | 28.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Over | 54c | 24.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 45c | 24.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 53c | 21.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 56c | 20.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 57c | 20.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 176.5this page
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 178.5Under won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-2.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.