TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9176…d962

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT5653.6%30 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11.28
Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$12.73
Athletics vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.41
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.41
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11.28
Athletics vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.41
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.04
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.54
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.11
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.41
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.11
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$12.73
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.87
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.53
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.92
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.09
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.02
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.53
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$17.98
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9.87
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+42.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.