MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dd251d89dce1ce4caf319ac018ef8e98a1dc78596a253ec03c74b3ce1fd2891
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 51c | 71,210$36,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,316.86 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 49c | 70,000$34,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,700 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.73 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 45c | 6,550$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,597.92 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 2,206$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.8 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 48c | 2,117$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.82 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…6deebacked Over | 52c | 1,920$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.4 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 65c | 1,854$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.8 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Under | 48c | 1,183$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.17 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 1,071$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.74 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 52c | 735.63$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.53 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 690.03$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.02 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 50c | 690$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 50c | 660.53$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.49 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 49c | 600$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked Under | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.05 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 47c | 449.02$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.22 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 49c | 312$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.12 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Under | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 51c | 294.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 50c | 231.14$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.57 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 46c | 223.18$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.55 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 48c | 202$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.04 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Under | 50c | 183.38$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.86 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Under | 50c | 147.22$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.61 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 52c | 120.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 62c | 117.9$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 49c | 111.11$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.66 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Under | 49c | 105$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 36c | 97.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Over | 27c | 87.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Under | 46c | 87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 37c | 77.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Under | 53c | 65.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Under | 74c | 60.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9176…d962backed Under | 50c | 48.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 54c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 43c | 42.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 49c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9280…4d46backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 52c | 29.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ff…8545backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Under | 77c | 28.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles AngelsBoston Red Sox won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-5.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.