MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcd01c45bd4a6507714725a29b851a8a488247d5543fc985c701866b3f5c5038
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $404,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $405,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $404,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 53c | 351,938$185,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185,884.75 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 47c | 150,000$70,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,500 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 74,775$35,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,149.82 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Over | 47c | 49,226$23,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,886.34 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 26,172$12,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,796.87 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Under | 54c | 20,226$10,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,822.24 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Over | 47c | 18,508$8,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,809.49 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 9,000$4,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,222.22 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 46c | 8,860$4,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,784.4 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 48c | 8,808$4,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,624.2 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Over | 48c | 7,777$3,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,044.04 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 49c | 7,704$3,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,929.04 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 5,765$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,012.83 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 3,072$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.44 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.83 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 49c | 2,612$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.34 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 48c | 2,600$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.99 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 2,339$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.01 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 1,834$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.03 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 48c | 1,455$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.92 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.34 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Over | 48c | 1,262$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.24 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.49 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 49c | 957$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.44 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 48c | 952.96$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.77 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 54c | 902$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.57 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 48c | 736.19$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.82 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 48c | 733.72$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.71 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 54c | 640$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.6 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 583$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.16 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 48c | 502.98$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.55 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 48c | 499.96$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.98 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 46c | 453.85$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.08 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 46c | 386.5$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.71 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 40c | 316.17$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.22 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9a…c65dbacked Over | 48c | 293.75$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.75 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 36c | 251.82$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.03 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 49c | 249.28$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.7 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 67c | 241.62$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.69 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 52c | 221.15$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 46c | 199$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.54 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 52c | 194.23$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 48c | 188.41$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.06 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Under | 50c | 151.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.51 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 142$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed Over | 47c | 126$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 53c | 116$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…3991backed Over | 47c | 106$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Over | 48c | 105.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 47c | 102.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Under | 54c | 96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x526b…5269backed Under | 52c | 95.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 114 | 23.7%27 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21eb…f4ddbacked Over | 48c | 92.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Over | 48c | 91.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 91.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Over | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Under | 46c | 89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 53c | 87.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Over | 48c | 81.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…2d60backed Over | 48c | 72.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Over | 48c | 72.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 48c | 62.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…c217backed Under | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09cd…9502backed Over | 48c | 54.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Over | 49c | 52.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 53c | 48.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 46c | 47.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…ac5cbacked Over | 49c | 44.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9176…d962backed Under | 54c | 44.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 45c | 42.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb0…51cebacked Over | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad81…d891backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Under | 53c | 39.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -11.1wins | -0.28per pick | 59cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 46c | 34.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…cf89backed Under | 52c | 32.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x392d…98c2backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…2deebacked Under | 52c | 28.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 179 | 52%93 W · 86 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0297…e67fbacked Over | 73c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe3…6872backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7f…bb6dbacked Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 52c | 23.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 15.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 20.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-5.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.