MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b9216836a42edd951be87b3a7e11532058687d97e84c75773dd442af1a51cf6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 54c | 54,221$29,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,941.73 | 552 | 53.1%293 W · 259 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 46c | 23,044$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600.38 | 324 | 51.9%168 W · 156 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 53c | 16,580$8,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,870.7 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 61c | 14,715$9,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,708.67 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 46c | 12,760$5,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,869.6 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 11,206$4,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,432.31 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 48c | 5,842$2,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,804 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 5,523$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.31 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Over | 46c | 4,179$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.39 | 189 | 59.8%113 W · 76 L | +14.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +236.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Over | 46c | 3,061$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 46c | 3,049$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.72 | 323 | 51.7%167 W · 156 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 61c | 2,766$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.58 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 46c | 2,379$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.24 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked Under | 64c | 2,100$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 46c | 2,097$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.81 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 46c | 1,851$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.4 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 47c | 1,782$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.41 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 47c | 1,688$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.73 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 1,221$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.2 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Over | 46c | 1,159$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.07 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 52c | 1,111$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.28 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 1,107$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.09 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 493 | 58.8%290 W · 203 L | +30.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 1,024$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.52 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 51c | 972.71$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.63 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over | 46c | 970$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.2 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 45c | 827.72$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.57 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Under | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 481 | 45.3%218 W · 263 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 49c | 666$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.34 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 55c | 650$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 274 | 49.3%135 W · 139 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Under | 79c | 625.53$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.36 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Over | 48c | 618.41$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.84 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 36c | 572.18$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.81 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 792 | 47.5%376 W · 416 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Over | 47c | 408.36$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.93 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 240 | 59.2%142 W · 98 L | +18.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 47c | 349$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.91 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 49c | 259.76$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.28 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 46c | 249.93$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.97 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 46c | 222.22$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.22 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 41c | 222.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Over | 47c | 209.15$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 55c | 194.55$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.55 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Under | 51c | 180.39$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.39 | 741 | 43.5%322 W · 419 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 46c | 179.63$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.63 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 55c | 170.42$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.69 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Under | 55c | 145.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5231…4907backed Under | 55c | 142$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 47c | 137.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 38c | 126$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2208…53eebacked Under | 55c | 119.65$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 38c | 117$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Over | 50c | 112.16$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa214…0653backed Over | 46c | 100.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…d585backed Under | 73c | 89.15$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…7143backed Under | 71c | 82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 59c | 78.57$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 765 | 58%444 W · 321 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over | 43c | 70.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 45c | 67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Under | 66c | 59.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 30c | 58.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 46c | 55.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 57c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 253 | 56.9%144 W · 109 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 46c | 51.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 55c | 47.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c4…f5f3backed Under | 55c | 47.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc28…ede2backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 44.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Over | 45c | 44.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 425 | 48.2%205 W · 220 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 51c | 43.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Under | 78c | 42.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 42.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Over | 34c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 27c | 40.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…0ea7backed Under | 55c | 40.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Over | 48c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Over | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…04b7backed Under | 55c | 27.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcefe…7ff4backed Over | 46c | 26.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…2deebacked Under | 55c | 26.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 51c | 26.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 362 | 50.3%182 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Under | 55c | 24.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 50c | 23.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Under | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9176…d962backed Over | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 60c | 19.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Under | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5this page
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta BravesSt. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.