TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x721c…d585

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
222
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT13157.3%75 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 131 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$37.18
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.42
ITF Umag: Giovanni Oradini vs Emanuel Ivanisevicbacked Giovanni Oradini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.49
ITF Skopje: Maximilian Borisov vs Obrad Markovskibacked Maximilian Borisov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.97
ITF Cary: Ayana Akli vs Ena Koikebacked Ena Koike · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$9.06
Cary: Daniil Glinka vs Edward Winterbacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.18
Cary: Liam Broady vs Jack Kennedybacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.89
ITF San Diego: Camille Allegre vs Annabelle Xubacked Camille Allegre · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
ITF San Diego: Rafael De Alba vs Youssef Kadiri Hassanibacked Rafael De Alba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+117.1%+$57.37
ITF Ajaccio: Pierre Antoine Tailleu vs Seydina Andrebacked Pierre Antoine Tailleu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+156.1%+$249.29
ITF San Diego: Midori Castillo Meza vs Jessica Bernalesbacked Midori Castillo Meza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+98%+$15
ITF San Diego: Paola Lopez vs Paulina Montielbacked Paulina Montiel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.99
ITF Ajaccio: Hugo Car vs Dan Addedbacked Dan Added · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$63.73
Quito: Hernan Casanova vs Luis Carlos Alvarezbacked Hernan Casanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$3.84
ITF Elvas: Francisca Jorge vs Elena Micicbacked Elena Micic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$14.35
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Dino Prizmicbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$15.75
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Milos Mikovic vs Guglielmo Verdesebacked Milos Mikovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$6.45
Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$23.01
Wimbledon WTA: Barbora Krejcikova vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.97
Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Xinyu Wangbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$13.08
Quito: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Alan Magadanbacked Juan Pablo Varillas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
ITF Stuttgart-Vaihingen: Mona Barthel vs Victoria Pohlebacked Mona Barthel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$4.76
ITF Umag: Facundo Yunis vs Nicolo Toffaninbacked Facundo Yunis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.97
Quito: Juan Sebastian Osorio vs Matias Sotobacked Matias Soto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$15.78
Showing 25 of 131 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT7754.5%42 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.31
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.71
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$7.45
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athleticsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.95
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$42.19
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.65
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.22
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.94
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.54
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$25.96
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.73
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.43
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.17
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+149.7%+$30.46
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.68
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.32
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$32.55
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$5.86
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+117.7%+$14.73
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.9
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$33.31
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-72.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.95
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.14
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.19
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.07
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$72.73
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.69
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.46
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.28
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38%+$44.25
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
All 11 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Blast: Derbyshire vs Lancashirebacked Lancashire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$40.79
Maharaja T20 Trophy: Kalyani Bengaluru Blasters vs Hubli Tigersbacked Hubli Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Libertybacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.