MLB · resolved market
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x777a541c11b5bcad29527554face8fae16c9bd81d3db9ecfc15b8aa565f00b22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 25,317$10,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,190.39 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 20,408$8,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,044.76 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 20,178$11,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,800.3 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 19,241$11,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,361.56 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 16,883$6,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,130.04 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 11,634$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,633.68 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 8,913$5,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,348.02 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 8,117$4,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,869.93 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 3,641$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.16 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 3,086$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.73 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 3,051$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.34 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 2,580$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.2 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 2,341$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.63 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 2,172$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.44 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 2,053$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.38 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…5cecbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 1,761$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.46 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 1,678$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.05 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 1,266$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.77 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 1,000$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.38 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 974.58$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.75 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 678.9$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.92 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 470.85$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.21 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 4c | 463.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 458.25$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.53 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 450.47$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.27 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 386.15$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 332.68$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.51 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 29c | 328.26$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.7 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…9372backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 316.4$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.84 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 307.72$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.19 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 292.2$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.24 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 269.38$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.79 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 21c | 180.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 180$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 170.09$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.19 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 159.14$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.48 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 125$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 125$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 120$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 110$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 101.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 15c | 100.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…d585backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 76.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 71.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 63.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…ef8bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…37d9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 56.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 52.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…d18fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 453 | 48.6%220 W · 233 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 41.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…fe71backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 39.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -9.0wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe3…6872backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 36.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 34.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 33.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 31.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 57.8%119 W · 87 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 30.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 29.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 22.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb224…dfa6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 12.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 14.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 16.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-5.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.