MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe91a3fd9e7335667c3b418b89e08502bfd19088716f28019f86bbe3961135eb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 47c | 50,112$23,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,590.04 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Under | 53c | 43,867$23,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,249.77 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 60c | 29,870$18,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,027.17 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 42c | 23,453$9,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,717.71 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 10,997$3,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,040.47 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 52c | 8,854$4,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,604.08 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Under | 65c | 6,952$4,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,503.24 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.33 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 3,570$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.46 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 54c | 2,276$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.15 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 54c | 2,211$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.93 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 2,072$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.66 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 1,942$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.22 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…d347backed Under | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Under | 53c | 1,836$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.9 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 55c | 1,100$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.22 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 54c | 1,001$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.58 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…a8efbacked Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 47c | 856.99$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.21 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 856.33$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.05 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 46c | 757.96$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.8 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 35c | 751.72$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 60c | 434.59$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.42 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b76backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 52c | 299$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.48 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Under | 53c | 261.51$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Under | 67c | 260$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.2 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Under | 53c | 227$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.31 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 48c | 221.7$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 39c | 158$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.38 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 53c | 156.13$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.05 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 60c | 133$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Under | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 63c | 126.19$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.47 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2411…d620backed Over | 42c | 116.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 37c | 102.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 61c | 102$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 423 | 55.6%235 W · 188 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 48c | 95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682a…c87dbacked Under | 53c | 94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Over | 79c | 91.49$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Over | 41c | 88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 44c | 85.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 54c | 64.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…1aa4backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 24c | 55.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 47.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4365…b613backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 286 | 39.2%112 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 59c | 42.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 49c | 38.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 33.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…37d9backed Under | 53c | 33.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 74c | 32.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 48c | 30.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Over | 37c | 29.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Under | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 53c | 24.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 48c | 23.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 52c | 23.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Under | 53c | 21.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 12.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 14.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 16.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-5.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.