MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04c736342b639e05fc4eb5512a7b46fec794e79c93a6c06b89e866fe70d15003
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Pittsburgh Pirates, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $672,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $723,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $672,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 316 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 189,665$109,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,017.85 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 88,077$29,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,075.5 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 67,569$28,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,379 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 44,444$25,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,666.43 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 42,892$24,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,241.88 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 28,744$12,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,069.53 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…3b95backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 25,615$10,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,758.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 20,000$8,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,440 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 16,964$7,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,125 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 16,749$9,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,866.94 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 13,409$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,631.62 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 12c | 12,573$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.75 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.95 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 9,492$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,891.53 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 8,625$3,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,622.5 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 22c | 6,976$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.16 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 6,944$2,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955.48 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 5,952$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 9c | 5,620$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.5 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 27c | 5,275$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.9 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 5,253$2,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.29 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.98 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 9c | 4,788$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.55 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 4,641$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.39 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 4,562$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.29 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 4,390$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 4,310$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.34 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41cf…6002backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 18c | 4,304$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 3,390$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.55 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 3,294$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.47 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 3,155$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.15 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 3,072$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.48 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 2,784$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.54 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 7c | 2,757$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 2,676$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.68 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 2,459$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.22 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 2,403$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…597abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 6c | 2,314$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.67 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 2,066$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.91 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 2,026$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.72 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 16c | 1,969$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.19 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 1,969$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.27 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 1,900$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…e9dcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 12c | 1,866$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 1,821$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 14c | 1,800$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f14…a4ebbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 1,653$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.45 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8de3…26fdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 6c | 1,616$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…5d29backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 1,604$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dec…53b0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 1,440$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.81 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 11c | 1,318$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 8c | 1,300$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 1,265$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.3 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…a2cbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 6c | 1,260$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…3c63backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 12c | 1,256$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f93…eb20backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 1,243$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 1,242$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.85 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8707…8b15backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 1,096$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.39 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…bfcfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 1,060$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaefb…6a8fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 1,030$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb84…fc70backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 1,009$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 1,002$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.02 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 447 | 50.6%226 W · 221 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 917$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.14 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…379cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 864.71$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 862$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.04 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…1acfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 856.36$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 11c | 849.16$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.26 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 840$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.4 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 3c | 834.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…a8a1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 821.16$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 800$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.78 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaa…0af8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 770.01$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 762.71$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.71 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 743$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.16 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 706.84$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.8 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…626cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 674.26$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…a8efbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 8c | 650$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 635$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.7 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6233backed Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 616.67$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272b…0a6ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 604.65$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 592.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…e1a1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 80c | 551.52$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.52 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +7.0wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 550$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.5 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 31c | 540.37$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.9 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…5cecbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 502.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.92 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 499.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 453.92$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.68 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 12.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 14.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 16.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-5.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.