Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Derbyshire vs Lancashire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x520e3bd1142c77941026f5d24afdd74b58eb79ccdda612b4ce4e7b0879f72e8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lancashireof Derbyshire, Lancashire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Derbyshire | 38c | 2,165$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.3 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d8c2backed Lancashire | 72c | 2,026$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Lancashire | 44c | 1,849$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.06 | 568 | 37%210 W · 358 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…d3b2backed Lancashire | 52c | 1,492$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.06 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Derbyshire | 41c | 913.95$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.57 | 434 | 41%178 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Derbyshire | 52c | 663.27$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.15 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Derbyshire | 45c | 593.63$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.19 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Lancashire | 80c | 592.15$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.22 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Lancashire | 54c | 520$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.8 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lancashire | 68c | 513.53$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.69 | 502 | 47.4%238 W · 264 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lancashire | 50c | 449.72$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227 | 385 | 44.4%171 W · 214 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Lancashire | 56c | 306.73$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.56 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Derbyshire | 19c | 259.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2433…99aebacked Lancashire | 44c | 251.7$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.95 | 145 | 27.6%40 W · 105 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a99…40d8backed Derbyshire | 48c | 238.55$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.21 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Derbyshire | 44c | 219.94$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.42 | 219 | 36.5%80 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Derbyshire | 46c | 215.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.78 | 318 | 39.9%127 W · 191 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…8574backed Derbyshire | 34c | 211.58$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.42 | 81 | 13.6%11 W · 70 L | -12.7wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x33ad…a123backed Lancashire | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…8f86backed Lancashire | 54c | 178$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.12 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Lancashire | 72c | 161.12$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Lancashire | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Lancashire | 59c | 147.29$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 762 | 51.6%393 W · 369 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lancashire | 65c | 144.82$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.89 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | -17.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Derbyshire | 52c | 134.72$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Lancashire | 69c | 121.23$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lancashire | 28c | 120.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.52 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…d0ecbacked Derbyshire | 33c | 119.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 129 | 16.3%21 W · 108 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Derbyshire | 54c | 111.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Derbyshire | 43c | 110.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Derbyshire | 43c | 108$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…d585backed Lancashire | 60c | 101.38$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Derbyshire | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Derbyshire | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Lancashire | 58c | 86.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Derbyshire | 51c | 84.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Lancashire | 72c | 83$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Lancashire | 64c | 80.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Lancashire | 64c | 80.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Derbyshire | 68c | 73.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Lancashire | 63c | 73$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Derbyshire | 42c | 71.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Derbyshire | 42c | 70.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Lancashire | 61c | 70.66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Derbyshire | 40c | 64.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Lancashire | 42c | 62.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5817…987dbacked Derbyshire | 47c | 51.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0be…8d08backed Lancashire | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 199 | 58.8%117 W · 82 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Derbyshire | 41c | 48.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Derbyshire | 40c | 45.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Lancashire | 63c | 44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Lancashire | 41c | 44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +5.4wins | +0.45per pick | 39cpaid | +128.7%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…bec3backed Derbyshire | 48c | 41.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Derbyshire | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Derbyshire | 52c | 38.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb3…d689backed Lancashire | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 47 | 80.9%38 W · 9 L | +8.7wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Lancashire | 68c | 30.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Derbyshire | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…f527backed Derbyshire | 54c | 29.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bc…0723backed Lancashire | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Lancashire | 52c | 28.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Lancashire | 46c | 26.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39f…8d53backed Lancashire | 59c | 26.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Lancashire | 52c | 25.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Lancashire | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…ae13backed Derbyshire | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Lancashire | 56c | 23.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1803…772ebacked Lancashire | 65c | 23.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lancashire | 51c | 21.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 416 | 47.4%197 W · 219 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb508…0ee6backed Lancashire | 60c | 19.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Lancashire | 64c | 15.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.