Tennis · resolved market
ITF Elvas: Francisca Jorge vs Elena Micic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe58f2a4b495acc3a243328e088f89757dac1941d05d4c968e1f305d6be4562e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elena Micicof Francisca Jorge, Elena Micic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Elena Micic | 65c | 4,658$3,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.77 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Francisca Jorge | 32c | 4,393$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.76 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Elena Micic | 23c | 3,122$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,404.16 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Francisca Jorge | 34c | 2,033$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.09 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Elena Micic | 54c | 862.22$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.63 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Francisca Jorge | 57c | 799.99$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Elena Micic | 43c | 714.1$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.08 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Elena Micic | 45c | 470.22$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.67 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Francisca Jorge | 35c | 432.23$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…649dbacked Francisca Jorge | 47c | 408$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.24 | 91 | 18.7%17 W · 74 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Francisca Jorge | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Francisca Jorge | 36c | 382.95$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.41 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Francisca Jorge | 33c | 303$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Elena Micic | 29c | 277.45$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.96 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Francisca Jorge | 77c | 260.8$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.82 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Elena Micic | 56c | 230.73$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Elena Micic | 63c | 214.55$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.12 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…339fbacked Elena Micic | 37c | 201.03$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Francisca Jorge | 74c | 201$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.71 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Francisca Jorge | 53c | 187.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Elena Micic | 32c | 159.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.89 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Francisca Jorge | 10c | 156$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Elena Micic | 26c | 145$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.76 | 242 | 28.5%69 W · 173 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Francisca Jorge | 35c | 143$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Francisca Jorge | 35c | 134.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Francisca Jorge | 35c | 131.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Francisca Jorge | 34c | 121.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Elena Micic | 41c | 112$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.08 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Francisca Jorge | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Elena Micic | 24c | 102$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Francisca Jorge | 74c | 100.18$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Elena Micic | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Francisca Jorge | 32c | 88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Elena Micic | 32c | 87.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.81 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Francisca Jorge | 34c | 82.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Francisca Jorge | 35c | 76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Elena Micic | 34c | 73.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Francisca Jorge | 45c | 70.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Francisca Jorge | 35c | 64.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Francisca Jorge | 75c | 63.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Francisca Jorge | 71c | 53.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Elena Micic | 43c | 53.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Francisca Jorge | 70c | 52.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Francisca Jorge | 76c | 52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Elena Micic | 45c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Francisca Jorge | 73c | 45.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Francisca Jorge | 35c | 44.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd5…805abacked Francisca Jorge | 73c | 41.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Francisca Jorge | 41c | 37.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…ae13backed Elena Micic | 68c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Elena Micic | 35c | 34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…d585backed Elena Micic | 56c | 32.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Elena Micic | 49c | 24.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Francisca Jorge | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Francisca Jorge | 79c | 14.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Francisca Jorge | 76c | 13.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.