TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbbd5…805a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst WNBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT4868.8%33 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick69cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iasi Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Maia Ilinca Burcescubacked Varvara Lepchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$17.72
Nottingham 3: Clement Chidekh vs Henry Searlebacked Henry Searle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.78
Newport: Alexis Galarneau vs Daniel Milavskybacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$9.24
Newport: Stefan Kozlov vs Yibing Wubacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.1
Bogota: Lorenzo Claverie vs Nick Hardtbacked Nick Hardt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.14
Braunschweig: Hugo Gaston vs Mika Petkovicbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.61
Newport: Momoko Kobori vs Elizabeth Mandlikbacked Elizabeth Mandlik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$20.86
Iasi: Jerome Kym vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburgbacked Jerome Kym · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.15
Bogota: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Eduardo Ribeirobacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$13.13
Bogota: Alex Hernandez vs Nick Hardtbacked Nick Hardt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+36%+$5.74
Liege: Florian Broska vs Kai Wehneltbacked Florian Broska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$16.24
Bastad: Mona Barthel vs Lola Radivojevicbacked Lola Radivojevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$11.79
Contrexeville: Caroline Werner vs Dominika Salkovabacked Dominika Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.2
Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$25.01
Brasov: Keegan Smith vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.7
Wimbledon WTA: Alexandra Eala vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.64
Wimbledon WTA: Elise Mertens vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.16
Brasov: Maks Kasnikowski vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.4
Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shickbacked Jay Dylan Friend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.92
Cary: Edward Winter vs William Manningbacked Edward Winter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.82
Wimbledon WTA: Nikola Bartunkova vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.82
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.48
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Shintaro Mochizukibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.82
Cary: Jack Kennedy vs Yosuke Watanukibacked Yosuke Watanuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.52
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.25
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20.33
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked Doosan Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.36
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.35
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.74
KBO: LG Twins vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.53
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20.33
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.42
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.74
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.74
Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.53
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.67
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.06
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$38.48
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$8.85
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$29.17
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+234.2%+$665.44
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$423.2
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.36
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick66cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.