Tennis · resolved market
Cary: Jack Kennedy vs Yosuke Watanuki
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa57752ec7468fb0099b3a056cfa2cc3f5155c36945c75abeec5ccc7affe0814e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yosuke Watanukiof Jack Kennedy, Yosuke Watanuki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jack Kennedy | 3c | 19,021$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.25 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Jack Kennedy | 1c | 6,050$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.63 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Jack Kennedy | 1c | 5,032$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Jack Kennedy | 2c | 4,717$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Jack Kennedy | 36c | 1,535$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.73 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yosuke Watanuki | 63c | 976.54$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.24 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jack Kennedy | 33c | 500$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.45 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Yosuke Watanuki | 65c | 434.1$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.11 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Jack Kennedy | 4c | 279$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 369 | 54.2%200 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Jack Kennedy | 18c | 231.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Jack Kennedy | 30c | 186.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Jack Kennedy | 36c | 138.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Jack Kennedy | 38c | 133.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Jack Kennedy | 13c | 114.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Jack Kennedy | 12c | 106.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Yosuke Watanuki | 64c | 99.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Jack Kennedy | 33c | 91.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Jack Kennedy | 35c | 86.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed Jack Kennedy | 12c | 84.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Jack Kennedy | 31c | 82.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Yosuke Watanuki | 64c | 77.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Jack Kennedy | 26c | 74.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bb…4c8abacked Yosuke Watanuki | 69c | 72.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Jack Kennedy | 31c | 58.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yosuke Watanuki | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yosuke Watanuki | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yosuke Watanuki | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yosuke Watanuki | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yosuke Watanuki | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yosuke Watanuki | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Jack Kennedy | 31c | 47.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a68…2b2bbacked Jack Kennedy | 33c | 43.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd5…805abacked Yosuke Watanuki | 69c | 43.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Yosuke Watanuki | 65c | 38.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked Yosuke Watanuki | 62c | 37.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 214 | 19.6%42 W · 172 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Yosuke Watanuki | 64c | 23.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 316 | 57%180 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yosuke Watanuki | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…04b7backed Yosuke Watanuki | 67c | 19.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.