TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Washington Mysticsof Atlanta Dream, Washington Mystics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$226,024
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$240,811

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,024 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb915…8da5backed Atlanta Dream72c28,944$20,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,945.586848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Washington Mystics20c19,450$3,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,600.371,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Atlanta Dream73c14,182$10,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,404.483956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Washington Mystics27c11,000$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,029.963647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Dream77c10,439$8,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,050.8423245.7%106 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x408f…b2f4backed Washington Mystics50c9,963$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,962.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-33.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Dream78c8,788$6,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,845.7632049.4%158 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Mystics27c8,706$2,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,340.0989349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Atlanta Dream72c7,987$5,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,775.3611754.7%64 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Washington Mystics51c6,500$3,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,216.1412144.6%54 W · 67 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Mystics28c5,223$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,760.5619458.2%113 W · 81 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Mystics27c5,080$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,702.4783748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Atlanta Dream69c4,942$3,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,407.0510340.8%42 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Washington Mystics13c4,783$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,181.319428.9%56 W · 138 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Atlanta Dream49c4,523$2,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,232.4612045%54 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Washington Mystics26c4,427$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,275.9840550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Washington Mystics26c4,378$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,222.1392248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Atlanta Dream44c4,322$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.831043.2%134 W · 176 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Atlanta Dream79c4,303$3,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,417.8874942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Mystics27c3,958$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,889.5846247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa81c…3d28backed Atlanta Dream79c3,675$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,900633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-55.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Washington Mystics48c3,304$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.8736750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Atlanta Dream10c3,060$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30610838.9%42 W · 66 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Atlanta Dream76c3,025$2,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,294.9736154%195 W · 166 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Atlanta Dream14c2,938$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.0921446.3%99 W · 115 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Washington Mystics28c2,160$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,548.717638.2%29 W · 47 L-7.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Washington Mystics37c2,073$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.01540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Mystics44c1,769$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.7917656.8%100 W · 76 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Atlanta Dream36c1,754$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.3831448.4%152 W · 162 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Washington Mystics28c1,692$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.95360.4%32 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Atlanta Dream39c1,647$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.5310634.9%37 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Washington Mystics25c1,555$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.6114942.3%63 W · 86 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Atlanta Dream50c1,552$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.017050%35 W · 35 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Atlanta Dream32c1,486$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.419146.2%42 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Atlanta Dream43c1,405$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.4716633.1%55 W · 111 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Washington Mystics22c1,397$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.832142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Washington Mystics17c1,381$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1411,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Washington Mystics40c1,283$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.594235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Washington Mystics53c1,267$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.0712165.3%79 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Atlanta Dream10c1,209$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.91557.3%4 W · 51 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Washington Mystics28c1,200$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87013844.9%62 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Washington Mystics25c1,185$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.6219446.4%90 W · 104 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Atlanta Dream10c1,120$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112568.9%5 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-71.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Atlanta Dream40c1,104$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.6719031.1%59 W · 131 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Dream71c1,011$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.1399548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Washington Mystics28c970.99$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.1122446%103 W · 121 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Washington Mystics59c944.85$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.62065%13 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Washington Mystics13c933.4$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.512030%6 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Atlanta Dream79c867.01$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.5826147.1%123 W · 138 L+15.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Washington Mystics60c855$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.49938.4%38 W · 61 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Atlanta Dream44c833.17$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.210538.1%40 W · 65 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Washington Mystics35c699.99$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4551361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+37.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Atlanta Dream31c673.42$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.3334726.5%92 W · 255 L-20.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Washington Mystics37c671.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.9330347.2%143 W · 160 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…83adbacked Washington Mystics30c667.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.214560%27 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Washington Mystics25c639.98$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.538554.1%46 W · 39 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Washington Mystics28c600.31$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.2232743.7%143 W · 184 L-23.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3d4…f59bbacked Atlanta Dream78c600$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Atlanta Dream74c566.62$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.178548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked Atlanta Dream74c534.24$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3958061.3%49 W · 31 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf42a…4b3cbacked Washington Mystics20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40010749.5%53 W · 54 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c8e…a316backed Washington Mystics21c500$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3958145.7%37 W · 44 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Washington Mystics27c499.98$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.988733.3%29 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Atlanta Dream41c493.34$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.0237650.3%189 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Atlanta Dream79c488.22$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.915642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2342…eea7backed Washington Mystics57c418.9$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Atlanta Dream73c410.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016153.4%86 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf1a…d74ebacked Atlanta Dream74c407.46$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002777.8%21 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Atlanta Dream73c402.65$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.934751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Washington Mystics20c399.47$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.587520%15 W · 60 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Atlanta Dream9c393.13$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0125246%116 W · 136 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c0c…b898backed Washington Mystics48c387.16$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed Washington Mystics54c378.17$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-37.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b3…27d8backed Atlanta Dream4c367.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Washington Mystics28c357$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.046741.8%28 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0537…e9dcbacked Atlanta Dream41c345.57$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+45.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed Washington Mystics50c343.38$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.312958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7693…470fbacked Washington Mystics30c330$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2311631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Washington Mystics25c320$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.732346.7%151 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Washington Mystics12c314.09$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.2912234.4%42 W · 80 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Washington Mystics20c312.49$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.823955.2%132 W · 107 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Washington Mystics27c310$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.39139.6%36 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x722a…d6edbacked Atlanta Dream78c306.66$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.191656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Atlanta Dream73c288.84$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.851163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Washington Mystics50c272.91$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.3231847.8%152 W · 166 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Washington Mystics25c270.4$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.1111351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Washington Mystics48c270.33$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.741233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Atlanta Dream76c250.84$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.6429654.4%161 W · 135 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8b9…2444backed Washington Mystics33c245.66$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Atlanta Dream55c238$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0918746%86 W · 101 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b9…4092backed Atlanta Dream44c224.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Washington Mystics40c224$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.43253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf202…9ea8backed Washington Mystics77c223.41$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.343762.2%23 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Atlanta Dream66c218.99$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.547357.5%42 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Washington Mystics69c217.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.591844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Atlanta Dream65c214.93$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.714452.8%76 W · 68 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Atlanta Dream73c205.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e1d…2b19backed Atlanta Dream45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902040%8 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x029e…b19cbacked Atlanta Dream45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-51.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Washington Mystics19c199.98$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.989318.3%17 W · 76 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.