WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacfd3d2410f301cd84242f81991ae35f83f7d7247e3c5f6bf66fe6c1be6f05eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 50c | 861.81$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.91 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 50c | 787.65$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.92 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 26c | 661.96$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.03 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 383.03$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.45 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…6e53backed Under | 50c | 305.62$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.83 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Under | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 54c | 260.96$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.13 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 51c | 196.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 49c | 196.06$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.07 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 46c | 139.63$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 41c | 132.65$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd4…91f7backed Under | 45c | 121.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.73 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.42per pick | 48cpaid | +87%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under | 49c | 115.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Under | 49c | 109$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.19 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 68c | 87.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 36c | 82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 49c | 81.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 42c | 78.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 44c | 78.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 51c | 70.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 51c | 58.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 72c | 46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 71c | 38.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 50c | 35.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 74c | 31.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 62c | 29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 50c | 22.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 164.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 165.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-6.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.