WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x371a116f708913cc1b8763d7a998fe78ea34f68fac64a9ee9c8d5c3d9f93b229
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof Atlanta Dream, Washington Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 11,924$6,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,498.07 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Mystics | 45c | 6,282$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,451.75 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 2,991$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.66 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 2,739$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.07 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 2,597$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.56 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 2,475$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.25 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 1,850$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.5 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 1,634$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.82 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 1,370$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.37 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…e298backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 1,348$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.83 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Atlanta Dream | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 1,024$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Washington Mystics | 45c | 918.28$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.05 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Washington Mystics | 55c | 718.56$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.49 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Washington Mystics | 60c | 499.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 444.59$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.08 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 417$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.84 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 349.98$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.89 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 301.88$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.94 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 275$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Dream | 46c | 232.11$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.68 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Atlanta Dream | 39c | 201.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.23 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Washington Mystics | 46c | 183$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Washington Mystics | 46c | 182.61$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.61 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +8.2wins | +0.23per pick | 58cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 124$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd4…91f7backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 124$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.42per pick | 48cpaid | +87%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Washington Mystics | 45c | 111$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Washington Mystics | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…b98bbacked Washington Mystics | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 91.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc82…a7c8backed Washington Mystics | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Washington Mystics | 52c | 64.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 61.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Washington Mystics | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Washington Mystics | 57c | 52.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…0d64backed Washington Mystics | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 41.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8e…13febacked Washington Mystics | 53c | 37.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 31.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…67fabacked Atlanta Dream | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 29.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Atlanta Dream | 55c | 26.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Washington Mystics | 46c | 26.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Washington Mystics | 46c | 25.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 24.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 24.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 22.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 21.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Atlanta Dream | 49c | 21.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 164.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 165.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-6.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.