WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb11e5a1f77a22804c29ac0b06d2017560a3cda9878c5603f7e340bdc64c43ae2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof Atlanta Dream, Washington Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 21,899$11,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,117.17 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 6,356$3,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,241.36 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 5,657$2,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,857.58 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 2,759$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.44 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Dream | 46c | 2,759$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.44 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 2,302$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.84 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Mystics | 59c | 2,270$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.7 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 1,846$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.63 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 449.74$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.87 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 427$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.77 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 407.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.89 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +8.2wins | +0.23per pick | 58cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 251.02$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 211.65$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.94 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Dream | 41c | 131.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 117.68$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Washington Mystics | 59c | 114.76$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 105$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 101.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 94.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 87.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 83.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 77.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 63.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 59.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…9b71backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 25.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 22.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…94cfbacked Atlanta Dream | 51c | 22.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 21.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd4…91f7backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 21.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.42per pick | 48cpaid | +87%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 164.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 165.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-6.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.