MLB · resolved market
KBO: LG Twins vs. Kiwoom Heroes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf110685d605a355fd0883c6cab287e53ac30c9f078036dfaaa546c81ec3c1b4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof LG Twins, Kiwoom Heroes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d29…f683backed LG Twins | 69c | 999.98$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kiwoom Heroes | 21c | 734.3$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.82 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kiwoom Heroes | 15c | 502.87$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.36 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Kiwoom Heroes | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed LG Twins | 75c | 480.61$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.42 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 412.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.32 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 376.58$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.14 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed LG Twins | 68c | 330.72$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.89 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 27c | 329.08$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.71 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 296.19$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.53 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 27c | 291.15$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 300 | 40.7%122 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 31c | 290.32$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 275.11$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.59 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…37f1backed LG Twins | 67c | 268.66$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.66 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 267.04$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.79 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked LG Twins | 75c | 249.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…b352backed Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 221.21$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 212.91$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.91 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked LG Twins | 69c | 199.98$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 193.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.69 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked LG Twins | 71c | 189.58$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Kiwoom Heroes | 20c | 186.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed LG Twins | 70c | 172$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.94 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked LG Twins | 68c | 159.59$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed LG Twins | 75c | 154.84$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Kiwoom Heroes | 19c | 148$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed LG Twins | 66c | 121.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed LG Twins | 66c | 121.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed LG Twins | 66c | 117.76$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed LG Twins | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed LG Twins | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed LG Twins | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed LG Twins | 66c | 99.84$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 779 | 52.1%406 W · 373 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c2…e9bfbacked LG Twins | 67c | 99.15$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…37d9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 24c | 96.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed LG Twins | 70c | 94.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 93.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 29c | 81.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 589 | 38.9%229 W · 360 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…95a2backed Kiwoom Heroes | 31c | 78.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc402…83f7backed LG Twins | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…7c8bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 24c | 70.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 64.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed LG Twins | 66c | 59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed LG Twins | 69c | 56.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed LG Twins | 65c | 53.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 1,803 | 53.8%970 W · 833 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 30c | 52.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked LG Twins | 67c | 51.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +37%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked LG Twins | 76c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked LG Twins | 69c | 50.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…74ebbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 414 | 44%182 W · 232 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LG Twins | 66c | 49.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked LG Twins | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 49.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…b898backed LG Twins | 68c | 48.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Kiwoom Heroes | 29c | 48.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd5…805abacked LG Twins | 66c | 45.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 42.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…f766backed LG Twins | 65c | 40.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed LG Twins | 68c | 39.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed LG Twins | 69c | 39.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed LG Twins | 68c | 36.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 624 | 54.2%338 W · 286 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 31c | 33.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a8…df77backed LG Twins | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked LG Twins | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd25a…7f71backed LG Twins | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +11.4wins | +0.26per pick | 42cpaid | +92%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed LG Twins | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3785…f577backed LG Twins | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed LG Twins | 67c | 15.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb1…e1d6backed LG Twins | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed LG Twins | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.