WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9b4c76206d7e4265450fafe09e78d98acec9f1c644d3241aa95008a2bc07fc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phoenix Mercuryof Seattle Storm, Phoenix Mercury
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Phoenix Mercury | 64c | 43,528$27,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,777.01 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Storm | 34c | 15,079$5,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,112.13 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Seattle Storm | 36c | 13,889$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Phoenix Mercury | 61c | 11,908$7,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,643.94 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Seattle Storm | 1c | 8,364$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.32 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Seattle Storm | 39c | 7,500$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,924.96 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Seattle Storm | 39c | 6,393$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,493.24 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Seattle Storm | 34c | 6,205$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.63 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Storm | 37c | 5,748$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.22 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Phoenix Mercury | 61c | 4,637$2,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.43 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Seattle Storm | 9c | 3,576$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.89 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…13b9backed Seattle Storm | 40c | 3,541$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.84 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Phoenix Mercury | 62c | 2,735$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.22 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Seattle Storm | 9c | 2,500$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Seattle Storm | 6c | 2,008$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.54 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Storm | 39c | 1,938$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.98 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Storm | 38c | 1,918$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.98 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Phoenix Mercury | 79c | 1,862$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.02 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Seattle Storm | 20c | 1,833$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Seattle Storm | 5c | 1,600$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Seattle Storm | 20c | 1,419$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.7 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Phoenix Mercury | 60c | 1,404$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.43 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed Seattle Storm | 2c | 1,403$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -83%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Phoenix Mercury | 76c | 1,157$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.9 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Phoenix Mercury | 79c | 997.07$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Storm | 38c | 935.52$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.9 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Seattle Storm | 8c | 899.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 93 | 18.3%17 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Seattle Storm | 36c | 813.72$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.94 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Seattle Storm | 24c | 807.64$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.75 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Phoenix Mercury | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Seattle Storm | 39c | 676.13$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.69 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Seattle Storm | 40c | 637.08$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.83 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Storm | 40c | 620.29$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.9 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…67ffbacked Seattle Storm | 38c | 537.64$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…a69cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 65c | 533.48$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.48 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Phoenix Mercury | 67c | 519.94$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.58 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Seattle Storm | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Seattle Storm | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Seattle Storm | 7c | 496.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 90 | 8.9%8 W · 82 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Phoenix Mercury | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Seattle Storm | 39c | 480.61$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.23 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Phoenix Mercury | 62c | 474.77$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.15 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Phoenix Mercury | 68c | 457.68$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Phoenix Mercury | 79c | 390.04$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.61 | 133 | 58.6%78 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…bb68backed Seattle Storm | 7c | 379.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Seattle Storm | 14c | 337.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Phoenix Mercury | 63c | 326.86$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.94 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Seattle Storm | 34c | 325.74$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Seattle Storm | 36c | 277.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Seattle Storm | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Storm | 39c | 256.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Seattle Storm | 39c | 256$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Seattle Storm | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…ef8bbacked Seattle Storm | 39c | 242.11$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…089dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 62c | 238.95$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Seattle Storm | 18c | 237.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Seattle Storm | 40c | 229.7$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.88 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Seattle Storm | 14c | 222.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 166 | 33.1%55 W · 111 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Seattle Storm | 18c | 204$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Seattle Storm | 19c | 197.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Seattle Storm | 16c | 187.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Seattle Storm | 40c | 184.66$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.86 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Seattle Storm | 38c | 181.96$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 62c | 165.27$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Phoenix Mercury | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Seattle Storm | 20c | 158$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…d91bbacked Seattle Storm | 38c | 156.55$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Phoenix Mercury | 66c | 154.74$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Seattle Storm | 27c | 151.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Seattle Storm | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Seattle Storm | 37c | 148.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Phoenix Mercury | 67c | 146.06$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Seattle Storm | 37c | 136.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Seattle Storm | 14c | 135$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Phoenix Mercury | 75c | 133.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…45c2backed Seattle Storm | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Seattle Storm | 11c | 128$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Seattle Storm | 37c | 124$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8d…44b1backed Seattle Storm | 33c | 120.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Seattle Storm | 38c | 119.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Phoenix Mercury | 64c | 112.64$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Seattle Storm | 16c | 112.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Phoenix Mercury | 70c | 112$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Seattle Storm | 17c | 110.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Seattle Storm | 25c | 108$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Seattle Storm | 40c | 105.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Storm | 38c | 101$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Seattle Storm | 11c | 100.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Seattle Storm | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 79c | 93.3$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Seattle Storm | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Phoenix Mercury | 62c | 88.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Seattle Storm | 20c | 81.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Phoenix Mercury | 61c | 81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Seattle Storm | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe149…ac8cbacked Seattle Storm | 27c | 79.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Phoenix Mercury | 60c | 76.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Seattle Storm | 41c | 69.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Phoenix Mercury | 67c | 65.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercurythis page
- Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 166.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 167.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 168.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 169.5Under won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-3.5)Phoenix Mercury won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-4.5)Phoenix Mercury won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-5.5)Phoenix Mercury won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-6.5)Phoenix Mercury won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.