WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 167.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4965e85aa80cdf2ec6f5b7d3eb0a9f7950a761609ca183c815e69b0f85b60c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 32c | 2,481$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.18 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 48c | 2,411$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.56 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 65c | 1,498$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.89 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 1,110$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.03 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 1,024$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Under | 46c | 732.09$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Over | 54c | 698.42$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.15 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 48c | 622.07$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.48 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 42c | 493.19$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.6 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 67c | 451.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.27 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 66c | 450$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 32c | 400.14$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.1 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 68c | 386$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.48 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…a053backed Over | 50c | 355.4$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.7 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 66c | 350$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 68c | 331$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.08 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 65c | 262.37$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.47 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 46c | 251.55$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.74 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 68c | 249.35$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.66 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 214.86$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.9 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 54c | 171.43$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.4 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Under | 41c | 160.76$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.17 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 43c | 157$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.89 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Under | 50c | 156.06$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.33 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 38c | 145.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.98 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 51c | 140.39$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 46c | 132.38$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under | 42c | 117$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.28 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 42c | 116.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Over | 57c | 108$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 52c | 98.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 46c | 96.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Under | 42c | 91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c2…e9bfbacked Over | 49c | 89.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 63c | 83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over | 60c | 74.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Over | 50c | 71.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 54c | 68.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 65.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 51c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Under | 44c | 65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 51c | 54.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 59c | 45.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 47c | 43.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…428cbacked Under | 46c | 35.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 44c | 34.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 59c | 34.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 33.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 68c | 32.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Over | 49c | 29.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…83adbacked Under | 50c | 28.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…94cfbacked Under | 50c | 28.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 46c | 25.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd4…91f7backed Under | 45c | 25.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.42per pick | 48cpaid | +87%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 46c | 24.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…37d9backed Under | 45c | 24.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 51c | 22.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c30…34f5backed Over | 64c | 16.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 167.5this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix MercuryPhoenix Mercury won
- Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 166.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 168.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 169.5Under won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-3.5)Phoenix Mercury won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-4.5)Phoenix Mercury won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-5.5)Phoenix Mercury won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-6.5)Phoenix Mercury won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.