TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,756,068
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,804,615

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,756,068 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x580d…eb6dbacked Under56c199,999$111,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,999.538063.8%51 W · 29 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over42c115,790$49,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,00014248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under58c103,329$59,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,384.9332031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over28c81,869$23,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,275.164,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Over42c75,000$31,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,5005263.5%33 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f12…8140backed Over17c50,134$8,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,6904025%10 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over37c41,258$15,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,468.1877152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under58c40,000$23,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,799.915950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over42c39,308$16,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,509.232,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over1c37,523$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.938333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Under55c27,635$15,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,435.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+45.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over44c25,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,999.9659230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over44c25,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,999.9353448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under57c22,667$13,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,659.312,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6fa…aeecbacked Over2c21,000$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.84027.5%11 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under56c20,000$11,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,70010146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9be0…b5fdbacked Over42c19,457$8,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,172.122552%13 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4582…619ebacked Under59c17,000$10,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,9708735.6%31 W · 56 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over44c15,961$7,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,022.842,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61d3…fd3bbacked Over43c15,000$6,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,449.983348.5%16 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under57c14,680$8,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,312.4413543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over45c14,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,30027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over15c13,333$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.681,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over21c12,720$2,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,729.421,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over5c12,686$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.351514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over33c12,000$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,96011042.7%47 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Over43c12,000$5,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,159.896149.2%30 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under57c10,313$5,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,394.2127039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Under58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,200944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,20024058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c93…3ff6backed Over43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,299.96837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Under58c9,999$5,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.5317452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1361…3296backed Under56c8,761$4,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,854.79540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-35.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Under58c8,621$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,620.6910457.7%60 W · 44 L+10.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Over42c8,571$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6007943%34 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d00…52f2backed Under58c8,425$4,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,538.71233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over44c8,000$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,52036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under57c8,000$4,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,449.9831851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over41c7,804$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.6421849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over33c7,500$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4757823.1%18 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Over19c7,234$1,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353.7431232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over42c7,143$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.0622451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77c6…85b9backed Under64c6,245$3,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,261.622152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over43c6,243$2,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,680.692,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under68c6,198$4,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.182,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Under57c6,187$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,687.3425336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under58c6,100$3,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5624452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over42c5,952$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5004932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under62c5,645$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,145.167163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5077…badcbacked Under58c5,555$3,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.081233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74b6…9823backed Under58c5,078$2,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,132.957754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Over42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1001833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Under58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10033235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked Over43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,15012655.6%70 W · 56 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Under55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.9724144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over42c4,527$1,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,901.328723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over44c4,519$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,985.781,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over42c4,376$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,835.2447144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Over32c4,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.9511638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Over44c3,864$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70012634.9%44 W · 82 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under58c3,800$2,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,595.9925857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9a5…ff0ebacked Under56c3,750$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6502100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under58c3,726$2,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.51,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Under55c3,610$2,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,606.614351.7%74 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Under55c3,600$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.988847.7%42 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70c9…caf5backed Under56c3,571$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.435068%34 W · 16 L+8.2wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+29.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over42c3,571$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50015141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x035b…01b1backed Under56c3,571$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.433754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over3c3,569$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.833,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over42c3,462$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.081,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Over42c3,440$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44529018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ef5…fc37backed Under57c3,427$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.6110152.5%53 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under70c3,422$2,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.632656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdcdd…73a5backed Under59c3,390$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.8313223.5%31 W · 101 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over44c3,333$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.5219037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over44c3,200$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40837850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Over39c3,056$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.8112248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over44c3,013$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.851,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e69…c98cbacked Under56c3,012$1,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over43c3,002$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.6833544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x306d…dec9backed Over43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2905050%25 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Over35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0508337.3%31 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed Under65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0509662.5%60 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over41c3,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23047643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2c1…a09ebacked Under59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2307444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3041331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under57c2,837$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.691,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over44c2,800$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23238351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over3c2,688$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.331,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbc…2a7ebacked Under56c2,679$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc925…be05backed Under56c2,679$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.57250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f61…86acbacked Over45c2,664$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.94930.6%15 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-34.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Under58c2,600$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.9843248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x093d…5ddabacked Under56c2,589$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over35c2,571$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2274…7840backed Under57c2,570$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.026155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Under59c2,517$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.949150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Over42c2,505$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05211963.9%76 W · 43 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x536f…ddb6backed Under56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over42c2,476$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.088047.5%38 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.