Fifa International · resolved market
South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x289c40356718c2a34a9ea1ba5fc165fb3909986a1f5aba19965a8bfd56c8583e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 80c | 5,100$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 9c | 4,029$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.28 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 5c | 3,342$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.22 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 19c | 2,426$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.75 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 7c | 1,733$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.55 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 18c | 1,260$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.5 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 2c | 1,200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Over | 17c | 999.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 18c | 907.62$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.34 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Over | 3c | 778.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 7c | 738.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 4c | 700.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 20c | 700$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.12 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c0…b876backed Over | 9c | 666.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a58…4890backed Over | 20c | 579.02$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.8 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…05c0backed Over | 7c | 531.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 6c | 515.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 80c | 400.5$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.16 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b7…4c27backed Under | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 16c | 399.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 18c | 369.61$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over | 25c | 264.31$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 372 | 37.4%139 W · 233 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 19c | 216.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 423 | 32.9%139 W · 284 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Over | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 77c | 195.61$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f4…9c4cbacked Over | 20c | 155$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 75c | 142$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Over | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…e632backed Over | 14c | 92.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 328 | 37.2%122 W · 206 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 19c | 84.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…61cabacked Over | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Over | 19c | 71.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 19c | 60.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Over | 18c | 59.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 356 | 21.9%78 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 78c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 75c | 41.07$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 1.5this page
- South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 3.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 4.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 5.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 6.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 7.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 8.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Team to AdvanceCanada won
- Spread: Canada (-1.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Canada (-2.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Canada (-3.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Canada (-4.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Canada (-5.5)South Africa won
- Spread: South Africa (-1.5)Canada won
- Spread: South Africa (-2.5)Canada won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.