Fifa International · resolved market
South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd248b8a161f2abda422a4cc0ba1e68238e6cc0ddcfba95fa6a2d2a44158820f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 18,374$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.7 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 13c | 2,054$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.64 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Yes | 8c | 1,404$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.43 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabff…9e8fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…c922backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…4041backed Yes | 16c | 630$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 126 | 6.3%8 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes | 15c | 617.93$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.69 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 6c | 518.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…4453backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46d…d125backed Yes | 4c | 499.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…77f0backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 93 | 15.1%14 W · 79 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…9c3bbacked Yes | 15c | 244.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc337…5984backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 196 | 18.4%36 W · 160 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 15c | 192.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec4d…7d02backed Yes | 16c | 190$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…dd03backed Yes | 16c | 175$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b88…b048backed Yes | 15c | 160.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 17c | 136$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…2f94backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 207 | 29%60 W · 147 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a490backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 205 | 39%80 W · 125 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…5e0fbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…a42abacked Yes | 16c | 112.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abc…636abacked Yes | 16c | 103.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…8232backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 255 | 10.6%27 W · 228 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea2…f26dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…f446backed Yes | 16c | 87.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16a6…f291backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…35d0backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…964abacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6384…3b16backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…7dd0backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x045b…9ab6backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c8…7e42backed Yes | 18c | 56.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 3.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 4.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 5.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 6.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 7.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 8.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Team to AdvanceCanada won
- Spread: Canada (-1.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Canada (-2.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Canada (-3.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Canada (-4.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Canada (-5.5)South Africa won
- Spread: South Africa (-1.5)Canada won
- Spread: South Africa (-2.5)Canada won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.