TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,185
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$155,350

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,185 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under34c39,044$13,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,087.464,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over80c8,799$7,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,780.411,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under35c7,349$2,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,604.014,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over62c5,005$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,905.3831435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf298…ada5backed Over61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9506943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over51c4,662$2,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,305.374,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over62c4,638$2,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.32,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under18c4,492$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.742,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over72c4,446$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.638,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe30c…9499backed Over62c3,988$2,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,517.755435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under21c2,913$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.882,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over45c2,725$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485.522,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under22c2,571$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.8320731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc83f…ed1ebacked Over38c1,842$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.117636.8%28 W · 48 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20f…6ccebacked Over61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.3418435.3%65 W · 119 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11eb…50cbbacked Over80c1,625$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.94955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under19c1,250$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.293,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.061,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under16c1,131$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.532,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Under17c1,111$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.8711745.3%53 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under18c999.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb38a…3293backed Over34c893.38$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.381637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x077c…98abbacked Over80c878.44$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.6919553.3%104 W · 91 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under19c852.64$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.343,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over39c769.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.236836.8%25 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2080…d262backed Over45c737.74$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.38650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Over80c712.5$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.522355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Under19c693.16$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.357945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77ac…5750backed Over76c654.58$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.584772.3%34 W · 13 L+10.7wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+50.8%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Over78c649.98$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1433571.4%25 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under18c631.36$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.761,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under23c626.32$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.511,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over57c531.07$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.912,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc44…fa40backed Over56c527.73$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.24245.2%19 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under18c514.58$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.862,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Over60c511.67$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.6719939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ec…aa22backed Under2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10523.8%2 W · 50 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09c1…0ddfbacked Under16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805549.1%27 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Over39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30554917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…3c86backed Under17c443.04$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.592356.5%13 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+51.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb014…4969backed Over31c429.18$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.4613953.2%74 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8aa…e4d1backed Over60c409.67$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.8725150.6%127 W · 124 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under19c402.36$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.451,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20022846.5%106 W · 122 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e3a…55babacked Over54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18415044%66 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a01…1a3cbacked Under18c332.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.824246.7%113 W · 129 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb5…0499backed Over77c324$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.522352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e40…095fbacked Over33c303.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.331136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+70.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Under70c286.34$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over52c247.7$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.881,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under29c239.58$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.472,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x59d3…c92fbacked Under16c234.08$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.454736.2%17 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over60c224.29$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7210562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under20c220.03$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.011,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad97…dc4cbacked Over62c203.23$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.234057.5%23 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x841a…61adbacked Over68c200.75$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5214746.9%69 W · 78 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74e7…c6ccbacked Over80c200.34$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.072259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c2e…b55cbacked Over58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8410753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under18c193.65$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8648937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under18c164.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.051,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Under17c162.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7126631.2%83 W · 183 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20aa…b3dcbacked Over62c162.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.377045.7%32 W · 38 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc86b…6e26backed Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2915040.7%61 W · 89 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over54c160$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.42,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x63aa…c5c8backed Over74c160$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.63946.2%18 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1597…6edebacked Under39c152$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2847029.1%137 W · 333 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under20c148.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.681,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2540…6becbacked Over23c136$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8524540.4%99 W · 146 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4020…11d1backed Under19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515853.2%84 W · 74 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under19c130$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.71,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8faa…1b5cbacked Over40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755843.1%25 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2535251.7%182 W · 170 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dae…c024backed Over57c114.04$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.048342.2%35 W · 48 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under39c108$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5688852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Under64c103$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.926946.4%32 W · 37 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Under74c100.55$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4115667.9%106 W · 50 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f75…ce35backed Over26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7421439.7%85 W · 129 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa698…fc64backed Over71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed Over73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2717659.7%105 W · 71 L+25.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over60c99.48$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7969744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over79c98.55$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.72,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over66c98.03$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.339467%63 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over61c97.49$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.026453.1%34 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb39e…5182backed Over31c96.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.774628.3%13 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over59c89.44$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.363,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under28c87.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.821,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over17c77$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9134551.9%179 W · 166 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under16c74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.795037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over43c71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.721,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under37c70.76$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.181,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xece6…b10cbacked Over74c69.86$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.165750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf555…3608backed Under75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016947.3%80 W · 89 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6926…152dbacked Over47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8327051.9%140 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed Over80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.513860.9%84 W · 54 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4206…f874backed Over80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.58270.7%58 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5965…33b5backed Over80c61.55$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.314967.3%33 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Under28c58.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5446243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over60c57$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2358049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa2e…c5d2backed Over58c52.44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225761.4%35 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick64cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1812…c143backed Over77c51.39$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.64065%26 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+39.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.