TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$318,139
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$316,582

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $318,139 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c171,197$92,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,140.664,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over47c93,110$43,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,761.7277152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over48c21,523$10,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,301.697140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Over47c14,040$6,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,614.7715843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over50c13,891$6,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,962.962,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over47c13,487$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,399.772,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over49c11,182$5,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,528.338,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Under50c10,132$5,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,091.1822752.4%119 W · 108 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over43c7,988$3,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,431.654,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10d…4ba0backed Under54c6,000$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,759.975740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under53c5,507$2,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,588.4974447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Over48c5,255$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50037754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked Under50c5,007$2,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,503.397757.1%44 W · 33 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under49c4,881$2,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,489.3170244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under52c4,439$2,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,126.081,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41c2…b6a5backed Over46c4,213$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.815248.1%25 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under50c4,050$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0252,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Over50c3,984$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under50c3,228$1,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,616.482,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under75c2,818$2,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.493,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over5c2,144$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.663,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over29c2,057$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60031435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92023942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b8…68c0backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006058.3%35 W · 25 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe30c…9499backed Over25c1,960$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.65435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Over49c1,735$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85017944.1%79 W · 100 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb175…0396backed Over47c1,464$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6883852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under51c1,250$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.143,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under51c1,242$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.453,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over20c1,188$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.432,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73ae…e665backed Over48c1,146$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5502864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under52c1,061$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.211,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over22c1,047$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.462,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a1f…fc37backed Over24c1,042$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250100%0 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Under76c1,038$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.9722355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Over47c1,002$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.9414134.8%49 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51035229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Over36c999.99$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3609752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30d5…f0c8backed Over49c999.98$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.998140.7%33 W · 48 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b01…00fabacked Under53c995.29$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.791758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over48c900$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43497742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef3a…1eb3backed Over50c874.86$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.434544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006134.4%21 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under52c711.69$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.911,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over43c677.88$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.761,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Over46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014235.2%50 W · 92 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under50c624.36$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.1836250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over38c550.09$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.452,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7be8…0f50backed Under55c545.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.3811238.4%43 W · 69 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under50c514.85$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.421,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23047127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc173…b6bdbacked Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-52.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x351d…8574backed Over28c474.78$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.9416725.7%43 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9a…68ddbacked Over21c470$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.75639.3%22 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over44c457.02$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.842,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over40c443.73$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.581,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under53c433.7$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.031,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025528.6%73 W · 182 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c98…f4f4backed Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021052.4%110 W · 100 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90c6…52bcbacked Over46c401.45$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.154949%24 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18445038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over49c399.99$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19627028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e43…6583backed Under68c399.99$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1284266.7%28 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Over45c379.69$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.8617241.3%71 W · 101 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8faa…1b5cbacked Over27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005843.1%25 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf006…20c5backed Over33c364.33$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeff5…dd85backed Over51c352.94$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010546.7%49 W · 56 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb116…c4e1backed Over47c338.3$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15914953%79 W · 70 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under52c317.21$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.6142853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Over48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016950.9%86 W · 83 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under66c300.5$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.064,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11173536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over47c299.93$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.971,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48d1…e42bbacked Over51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507255.6%40 W · 32 L+11.8wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+119.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4ffc…a23dbacked Over52c283.75$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.551656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb95…9b8dbacked Under50c280$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1028…d62cbacked Under50c280$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34df…3eecbacked Over51c280$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.81747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e3…31f7backed Under51c280$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.21637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2920…6fdabacked Over50c280$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc626…9437backed Over51c279.8$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.71850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd05…51dabacked Under51c270$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.31952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fdb…ea94backed Over50c270$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351414.3%2 W · 12 L-5.1wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-71.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under50c266.56$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.851,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb0…661cbacked Over50c266$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over47c265.96$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12524649.2%121 W · 125 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0fd…a7fdbacked Under51c265.88$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.28771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+41.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under49c263.82$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.5561752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over39c255.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5110832.4%35 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9170…499abacked Under49c244.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.92147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd942…31e5backed Over52c244.81$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.32343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9622…c6f6backed Over41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003528.6%10 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x354c…5000backed Over51c240.2$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.51070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+37.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x538e…7f37backed Over51c240.2$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eb9…6f30backed Under50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1202334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a08…d87bbacked Over51c240$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.42352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16a8…77e2backed Under50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-71.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd66f…bfd2backed Over51c240$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+69%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f87…9177backed Over51c240$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.41050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.