TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,966
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,892

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,966 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ed4…e181backed Under60c8,205$4,923 inWon+$3,282.197416.2%12 W · 62 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick20cpaid+20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over40c8,205$3,282 inLost-$3,282.1953448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Over10c545.17$55 inLost-$54.5218642.5%79 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6fa…aeecbacked Over15c500$75 inLost-$754027.5%11 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over8c390$31 inLost-$30.62,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over40c363.64$145 inLost-$145.462,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under60c325.8$195 inWon+$130.323,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under60c306.91$184 inWon+$122.763,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over16c293.06$48 inLost-$48.051,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…3ae9backed Over43c232.56$100 inLost-$1007938%30 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under57c225.22$128 inWon+$96.8458049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under65c214$139 inWon+$74.982537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over9c140.47$13 inLost-$12.672,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3082…4a18backed Over40c121.58$49 inLost-$48.6310451%53 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under58c104.76$61 inWon+$4440655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under60c101.3$61 inWon+$40.5270648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba65…54d5backed Over40c100$40 inLost-$403943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over41c68.89$28 inLost-$28.28,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Over40c68.38$27 inLost-$27.3536350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c2f…27f6backed Over42c38.1$16 inLost-$162030%6 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2540…6becbacked Under65c35$23 inWon+$12.2524540.4%99 W · 146 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5276…800dbacked Under67c28.79$19 inWon+$9.512046.7%56 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over40c25.4$10 inLost-$10.1631046.5%144 W · 166 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed2…03a3backed Over40c25$10 inLost-$101735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c34…266dbacked Under60c20$12 inWon+$825655.1%141 W · 115 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.