Fifa International · resolved market
South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf089d49f1950f8dde3c4eb9b41b39c9c555b9484040dafb0f98c72057ce2ca7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 16c | 2,310$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.2 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 17c | 1,680$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.18 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 14c | 1,615$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.77 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 21c | 848.21$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.12 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac3…78a5backed Over | 22c | 681.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 79c | 631.87$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.61 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 79c | 618.76$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.49 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 2c | 597.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 24c | 557.68$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1c…bd78backed Over | 20c | 545$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Over | 22c | 499.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…8574backed Over | 8c | 474.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Over | 7c | 444.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 5c | 429.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 75c | 415.45$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e2…d5b2backed Over | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f4…7763backed Under | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over | 11c | 356.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 22c | 356$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.32 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 79c | 297.93$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 197 | 13.7%27 W · 170 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 9c | 223.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 20c | 221.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 20c | 219.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Over | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Over | 20c | 190$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 78c | 161.83$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 16c | 160$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 65c | 154.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.93 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 20c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 77c | 95.01$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…54c9backed Over | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -5.9wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -53%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x04f5…c84bbacked Over | 24c | 66.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34e…5cbbbacked Over | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…0c9bbacked Under | 78c | 64.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 64 | 73.4%47 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 22c | 57.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed Under | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e4…330abacked Under | 78c | 41.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 328 | 37.2%122 W · 206 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 78c | 25.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…6dedbacked Under | 78c | 16.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 2.5this page
- South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 3.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 4.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 5.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 6.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 7.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 8.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Team to AdvanceCanada won
- Spread: Canada (-1.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Canada (-2.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Canada (-3.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Canada (-4.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Canada (-5.5)South Africa won
- Spread: South Africa (-1.5)Canada won
- Spread: South Africa (-2.5)Canada won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.