TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Canada (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
South Africaof Canada, South Africa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,376,785
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,367,563

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,376,785 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 609 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed South Africa71c383,469$271,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112,040.7474752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f58…3825backed Canada28c346,250$96,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96,950.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked South Africa72c216,864$156,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,721.9833538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Canada29c99,335$28,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,520.292,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Canada30c70,544$21,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,163.1620844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed South Africa72c57,064$41,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,978.0122348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed South Africa75c52,983$39,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,165.964,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Canada30c47,939$14,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,366.932,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e2…9dcbbacked Canada33c45,455$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0009045.6%41 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Canada23c43,257$9,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,992.562,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Canada17c25,351$4,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,253.741,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Canada31c25,028$7,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,666.777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Canada27c20,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.9717748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Canada15c19,730$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00025019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Canada32c15,465$4,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,99513843.5%60 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked Canada28c14,800$4,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,14414139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6219…aa6fbacked South Africa69c12,391$8,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,841.310057%57 W · 43 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4810…289abacked South Africa71c11,155$7,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,234.964151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a2…353abacked Canada33c10,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3004841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b8…9915backed Canada30c9,627$2,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,888119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-84.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed South Africa72c7,810$5,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,160.991540%6 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Canada31c7,145$2,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,209.838,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Canada16c6,666$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.5632029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Canada32c6,250$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011640.5%47 W · 69 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked South Africa70c5,154$3,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.270244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f2…ca6abacked Canada17c4,500$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7856749.3%33 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked South Africa68c4,467$3,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.071,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked South Africa68c4,412$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.8322451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed South Africa73c4,000$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08043248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x171b…5179backed South Africa71c3,805$2,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.446238.7%24 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c44…0fb0backed South Africa80c3,711$2,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.192080%16 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed South Africa70c3,497$2,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.4528162.6%176 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac1c…d8b5backed South Africa73c3,428$2,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.514734%50 W · 97 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked Canada30c3,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002737%10 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x306d…dec9backed South Africa67c3,300$2,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.995050%25 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62e0…32dfbacked Canada32c3,125$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017345.1%78 W · 95 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ecf…9148backed Canada33c3,020$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.454355.8%24 W · 19 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+24.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Canada29c3,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87015128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked South Africa69c2,899$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.5565948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Canada6c2,779$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.1653629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe275…f1eebacked South Africa73c2,740$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.734032.5%13 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Canada21c2,736$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.5251032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Canada31c2,666$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.5633549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Canada13c2,600$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.494,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0b8…e424backed South Africa73c2,574$1,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.985947.5%28 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Canada7c2,571$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18028526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed South Africa73c2,500$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67510471.2%74 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked South Africa71c2,453$1,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.321,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62a2…b659backed Canada32c2,444$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.09560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe977…fcd8backed Canada32c2,299$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7473119.4%6 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-61.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Canada18c2,250$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.522633.6%76 W · 150 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed South Africa69c2,222$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.8217636.4%64 W · 112 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed South Africa79c2,159$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.11,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Canada32c2,157$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6801,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Canada32c2,031$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65018626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Canada12c2,029$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.3331232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Canada30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60036247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Canada32c2,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.9935229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Canada32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.9923729.1%69 W · 168 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4362…9e47backed Canada16c1,956$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3137431.1%23 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd044…a6febacked Canada31c1,800$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5583633.3%12 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed South Africa69c1,766$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.012,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x202d…c3b1backed South Africa67c1,691$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.156349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Canada30c1,647$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48965835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Canada23c1,643$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38546223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2613…12bdbacked Canada30c1,617$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.9614035.7%50 W · 90 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Canada33c1,515$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50037754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bfc…f71dbacked Canada33c1,515$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016827.4%46 W · 122 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed South Africa68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.5925336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb38a…3293backed Canada7c1,467$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed South Africa73c1,455$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.923,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7353…4b0dbacked South Africa69c1,450$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.58752.9%46 W · 41 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x830b…32fdbacked South Africa79c1,416$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.4123747.3%112 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed South Africa71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.4510356.3%58 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked South Africa68c1,400$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.9934247.7%163 W · 179 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Canada28c1,357$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38011346%52 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Canada11c1,270$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.52,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9706…bc33backed South Africa79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.8222626.5%60 W · 166 L+0.9wins0.00per pick26cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Canada28c1,240$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.214134.8%49 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94f1…54a1backed Canada28c1,233$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.3612738.6%49 W · 78 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8026…4005backed Canada10c1,213$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1199819.4%19 W · 79 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked South Africa69c1,194$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.4227520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed South Africa70c1,155$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.993,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Canada32c1,153$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.9319442.3%82 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Canada2c1,140$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.814542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Canada29c1,116$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.62,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Canada28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011122.5%25 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Canada17c1,059$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18054917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f0…f1b2backed South Africa69c1,038$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.684850%24 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a8…f71cbacked Canada31c1,034$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.342650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Canada32c1,031$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33030142.5%128 W · 173 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Canada31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31047032.8%154 W · 316 L-0.7wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ea0…68b1backed Canada32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3208425%21 W · 63 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-49.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed Canada32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32011531.3%36 W · 79 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Canada15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15031728.1%89 W · 228 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed South Africa68c999.99$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32055044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Canada15c999.96$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9936631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x91d6…b9febacked Canada31c999$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc427…6f4dbacked Canada5c999$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.952321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-42.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Canada14c989.97$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.637944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.