Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Canada (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71e4e32f85be965184636c0403952f598cca65cd67004f54950a89bd6381c077
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Africaof Canada, South Africa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $168,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Canada | 0c | 23,844$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Canada | 11c | 15,411$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.26 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Canada | 7c | 12,613$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.45 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Canada | 12c | 11,411$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.78 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x760c…5a5dbacked Canada | 14c | 6,901$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.15 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Canada | 9c | 4,502$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.27 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Canada | 11c | 3,236$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Canada | 14c | 3,166$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.24 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Canada | 7c | 2,934$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.76 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Canada | 8c | 2,499$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.94 | 270 | 34.4%93 W · 177 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Canada | 8c | 2,061$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.81 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…2763backed Canada | 13c | 1,923$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 186 | 26.3%49 W · 137 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…9915backed Canada | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…ec6abacked Canada | 12c | 1,218$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.14 | 431 | 39%168 W · 263 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Canada | 12c | 1,063$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.54 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Canada | 13c | 1,038$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Canada | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1c…bd78backed Canada | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d76…92b5backed Canada | 5c | 758.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Canada | 5c | 735.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Canada | 4c | 698.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Canada | 8c | 635$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…47c5backed Canada | 7c | 625$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Canada | 13c | 606.85$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.89 | 384 | 37%142 W · 242 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Canada | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 193 | 17.1%33 W · 160 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98be…5794backed Canada | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 115 | 31.3%36 W · 79 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Canada | 9c | 450.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Canada | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…697dbacked Canada | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 43.9%98 W · 125 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb4…89b0backed Canada | 10c | 379.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Canada | 7c | 347.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Canada | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Canada | 11c | 296.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 389 | 48.8%190 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…90cbbacked Canada | 12c | 254$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 179 | 19%34 W · 145 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…e36dbacked Canada | 13c | 253.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0459…0fcbbacked Canada | 11c | 245.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 267 | 20.6%55 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…4985backed Canada | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Canada | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Canada | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canada | 11c | 187.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Canada | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb79d…d953backed Canada | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Canada | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 295 | 29.8%88 W · 207 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d92…7822backed Canada | 11c | 174.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Canada | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208f…b41fbacked Canada | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…6a80backed Canada | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Canada | 11c | 149.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Canada | 12c | 143.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8f…89c5backed Canada | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Canada | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 373 | 23.1%86 W · 287 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Canada | 11c | 123.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 234 | 49.1%115 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b7…ece2backed Canada | 11c | 104.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635c…5a00backed Canada | 12c | 103$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…4b75backed Canada | 14c | 89.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Canada (-2.5)this page
- South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 3.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 4.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 5.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 6.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 7.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 8.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Team to AdvanceCanada won
- Spread: Canada (-1.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Canada (-3.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Canada (-4.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Canada (-5.5)South Africa won
- Spread: South Africa (-1.5)Canada won
- Spread: South Africa (-2.5)Canada won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.