TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9eb4…89b0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: UFC, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 53 out of 100; worst Middle East at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricketlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT3928.2%11 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked Trent Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked Southern Brave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.33
The Hundred: MI London vs Trent Rocketsbacked MI London · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
The Hundred: Birmingham Phoenix vs Sunrisers Leedsbacked Birmingham Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
The Hundred: London Spirit vs MI Londonbacked MI London · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$127.2
The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Birmingham Phoenixbacked Birmingham Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.68
The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Welsh Firebacked Manchester Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$90
The Hundred: Welsh Fire vs Southern Bravebacked Southern Brave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.11
The Hundred: MI London vs London Spiritbacked MI London · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked Manchester Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
The Hundred: Southern Brave vs MI Londonbacked MI London · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$278.04
The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs London Spiritbacked Trent Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Birmingham Phoenixbacked Manchester Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$48.21
T20 Series Zimbabwe vs India: Zimbabwe vs Indiabacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
The Hundred: Welsh Fire vs MI Londonbacked Welsh Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.8
The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs Southern Bravebacked Southern Brave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.2
T20 Lanka Premier League: Galle Gallants vs Kandy Royalsbacked Galle Gallants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.28
The Hundred: London Spirit vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked Manchester Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+131.5%+$343.58
The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Welsh Firebacked Southern Brave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.95
Will Sunrisers Hyderabad win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will Kolkata Knight Riders win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.22
Will Mumbai Indians win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-55.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$738Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$737.57
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$351.05
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$725
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$39.2
Spread: Canada (-2.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$432.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-49.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskovabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$29.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$223.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$542Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$541.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.