UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Kevin Christian (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa3f1da1f170f77ecf5705781d88aa47291febc5b82c2bdaaf2a917311d6f822
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Junior Tafaof Junior Tafa, Kevin Christian
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Junior Tafa | 66c | 10,652$6,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,659.03 | 57 | 75.4%43 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Junior Tafa | 65c | 8,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Kevin Christian | 35c | 7,316$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.19 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Kevin Christian | 34c | 7,079$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.85 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Junior Tafa | 64c | 5,020$3,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.68 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d2…ac37backed Kevin Christian | 34c | 5,009$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.91 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Kevin Christian | 35c | 5,001$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.74 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Junior Tafa | 65c | 4,286$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.08 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Kevin Christian | 35c | 4,038$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.11 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Junior Tafa | 66c | 3,560$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.27 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0c4bbacked Kevin Christian | 35c | 2,813$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.5 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Kevin Christian | 34c | 2,426$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.55 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1d…4c70backed Junior Tafa | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Kevin Christian | 32c | 1,966$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.21 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Kevin Christian | 35c | 1,498$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.42 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc31e…82cdbacked Kevin Christian | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Junior Tafa | 65c | 1,352$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.19 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Kevin Christian | 33c | 1,305$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Kevin Christian | 35c | 1,165$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.65 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Kevin Christian | 33c | 1,126$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.12 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Junior Tafa | 60c | 1,043$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.28 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Junior Tafa | 65c | 1,011$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.71 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…1fcabacked Junior Tafa | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Kevin Christian | 42c | 944.8$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Kevin Christian | 33c | 923.3$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.69 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Junior Tafa | 69c | 869.71$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.71 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Junior Tafa | 65c | 808$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.8 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b4…f97ebacked Junior Tafa | 63c | 796.59$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.59 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Kevin Christian | 39c | 776.36$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Junior Tafa | 71c | 708.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.77 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Junior Tafa | 67c | 665.98$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.77 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dad…1d41backed Kevin Christian | 33c | 599.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…44adbacked Kevin Christian | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997d…decfbacked Junior Tafa | 66c | 547.98$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.98 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…fe01backed Kevin Christian | 38c | 529.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Junior Tafa | 66c | 507.93$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.7 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Kevin Christian | 32c | 503.89$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.89 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Kevin Christian | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Junior Tafa | 67c | 499.99$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.65 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…2ba5backed Junior Tafa | 67c | 486.86$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Kevin Christian | 34c | 450$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa159…ac8ebacked Kevin Christian | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd578…a365backed Kevin Christian | 36c | 425.11$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.96 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Junior Tafa | 65c | 419.18$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.76 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…de48backed Junior Tafa | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Kevin Christian | 34c | 399.97$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Junior Tafa | 65c | 378.46$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.46 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf334…bdefbacked Junior Tafa | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Kevin Christian | 36c | 347.16$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Kevin Christian | 36c | 346.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Junior Tafa | 65c | 344$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.83 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…0bccbacked Junior Tafa | 62c | 339.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +41%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Junior Tafa | 66c | 333.65$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.44 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Junior Tafa | 62c | 326.26$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.54 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…e024backed Kevin Christian | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f75…d3fbbacked Junior Tafa | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Kevin Christian | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Junior Tafa | 67c | 299.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Kevin Christian | 33c | 299.87$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Kevin Christian | 35c | 290$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…4d49backed Kevin Christian | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed Kevin Christian | 35c | 282.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Kevin Christian | 34c | 260$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Junior Tafa | 65c | 255.54$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kevin Christian | 35c | 243$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kevin Christian | 31c | 214.76$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Kevin Christian | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Junior Tafa | 66c | 199.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…a55ebacked Kevin Christian | 38c | 198.47$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.87 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Junior Tafa | 63c | 193.19$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.51 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…57a1backed Junior Tafa | 63c | 179.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 39cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Kevin Christian | 32c | 165.38$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…bbedbacked Junior Tafa | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…3c98backed Junior Tafa | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Junior Tafa | 63c | 149.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Junior Tafa | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…98aebacked Junior Tafa | 69c | 145.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 265 | 69.4%184 W · 81 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cee…0d1ebacked Junior Tafa | 69c | 145.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5941…9583backed Kevin Christian | 35c | 143.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Kevin Christian | 45c | 138.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.34 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Kevin Christian | 33c | 123.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…029bbacked Junior Tafa | 67c | 120.1$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Junior Tafa | 68c | 118.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Kevin Christian | 32c | 118.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…8cc3backed Junior Tafa | 65c | 115$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…0b63backed Kevin Christian | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded6…f649backed Kevin Christian | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…f4e2backed Junior Tafa | 68c | 103.03$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 225 | 68.9%155 W · 70 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Kevin Christian | 33c | 102.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…a0d7backed Kevin Christian | 35c | 102.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdd…3f80backed Kevin Christian | 32c | 100.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e5…1d48backed Junior Tafa | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Junior Tafa | 67c | 95$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Junior Tafa | 59c | 94.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7465…caa8backed Junior Tafa | 65c | 92.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Junior Tafa | 64c | 91.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Kevin Christian | 33c | 90.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa262…c8babacked Junior Tafa | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059b…aae1backed Kevin Christian | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…d2c9backed Junior Tafa | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Kevin Christian (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)this page
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.