TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91b6…d2c9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.13 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 64 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT6259.7%37 W · 25 L+11.2wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+52.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$116.67
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$106.25
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$122.41
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT3661.1%22 W · 14 L+6.7wins+0.19per pick42cpaid+46.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
UFC — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Lone'er Kavanagh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Terrance McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Robert Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
UFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Cody Garbrandt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$188.1
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Derrick Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Perry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$426.32
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Jeremy Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Joshua Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jim Miller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$122.41
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Beneil Dariush · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Kevin Christian (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Junior Tafa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.06
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Dominick Reyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$36.75
UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Kevin Holland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.5
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Renato Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$66.64
UFC Fight Night: Virna Jandiroba vs. Tabatha Ricci (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Virna Jandiroba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$41.42
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$185.71
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reinier de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Raul Rosas Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoevenbacked Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.