UFC · resolved market
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78fdaa290adbb2780e5f3b391b6cb5009d7c849a1a774bf1966115b75f8d4554
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brandon Royvalof Brandon Royval, Lone'er Kavanagh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $525,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $567,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $525,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 577 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Brandon Royval | 32c | 31,250$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,250 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Lone'er Kavanagh | 37c | 22,257$8,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,210.6 | 155 | 37.4%58 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…87debacked Lone'er Kavanagh | 68c | 21,836$14,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,793.39 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lone'er Kavanagh | 56c | 20,513$11,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,462.49 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Lone'er Kavanagh | 31c | 18,718$5,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,869.99 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Brandon Royval | 64c | 18,393$11,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,657.34 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Brandon Royval | 71c | 17,252$12,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,066.95 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Brandon Royval | 65c | 15,750$10,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,440.88 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Brandon Royval | 31c | 15,623$4,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,774.39 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Lone'er Kavanagh | 69c | 15,000$10,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,350 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…acefbacked Lone'er Kavanagh | 69c | 15,000$10,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,380 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Brandon Royval | 54c | 14,939$8,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,917.48 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…32c8backed Brandon Royval | 35c | 14,191$4,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,192.43 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Lone'er Kavanagh | 67c | 13,345$8,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,877.83 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Brandon Royval | 48c | 11,125$5,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,765.8 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Lone'er Kavanagh | 40c | 10,547$4,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,225.97 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Brandon Royval | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,899.8 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Brandon Royval | 32c | 9,026$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,103.24 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…3624backed Brandon Royval | 55c | 8,184$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,683.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b12…d642backed Brandon Royval | 64c | 7,844$5,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,806.05 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Brandon Royval | 32c | 7,766$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,296.41 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Brandon Royval | 33c | 7,632$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,132.32 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Lone'er Kavanagh | 51c | 7,356$3,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,761.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Lone'er Kavanagh | 68c | 6,888$4,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,683.84 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Lone'er Kavanagh | 41c | 5,980$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.11 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lone'er Kavanagh | 38c | 5,971$2,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.84 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Brandon Royval | 51c | 5,857$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,857.46 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Lone'er Kavanagh | 31c | 5,841$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.71 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lone'er Kavanagh | 36c | 5,632$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.18 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Lone'er Kavanagh | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…0386backed Lone'er Kavanagh | 65c | 4,769$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.89 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Brandon Royval | 50c | 4,597$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.83 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Brandon Royval | 51c | 4,528$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.03 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Brandon Royval | 48c | 4,389$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.69 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Brandon Royval | 30c | 4,344$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.51 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Brandon Royval | 33c | 4,180$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,806.78 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…20d1backed Brandon Royval | 34c | 4,158$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744.36 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Lone'er Kavanagh | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.9 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Lone'er Kavanagh | 68c | 3,861$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625.47 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…a4a9backed Brandon Royval | 62c | 3,829$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.89 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Lone'er Kavanagh | 36c | 3,772$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.84 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Brandon Royval | 63c | 3,405$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.05 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lone'er Kavanagh | 39c | 3,270$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.98 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Brandon Royval | 76c | 3,236$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.76 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Brandon Royval | 48c | 3,122$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Brandon Royval | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.97 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Lone'er Kavanagh | 58c | 2,959$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lone'er Kavanagh | 37c | 2,941$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.2 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Lone'er Kavanagh | 52c | 2,864$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Brandon Royval | 68c | 2,843$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.11 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Lone'er Kavanagh | 39c | 2,733$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.15 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Lone'er Kavanagh | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Lone'er Kavanagh | 69c | 2,500$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.98 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8089…f935backed Lone'er Kavanagh | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.99 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Lone'er Kavanagh | 74c | 2,438$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Brandon Royval | 34c | 2,371$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.62 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299b…cdc1backed Brandon Royval | 52c | 2,360$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.08 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Brandon Royval | 34c | 2,150$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Lone'er Kavanagh | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.99 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Lone'er Kavanagh | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x370f…c4e4backed Brandon Royval | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.99 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Brandon Royval | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.99 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Brandon Royval | 52c | 1,977$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.08 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Brandon Royval | 54c | 1,895$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Brandon Royval | 32c | 1,846$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.84 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed Brandon Royval | 33c | 1,820$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.07 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Brandon Royval | 50c | 1,817$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.94 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Lone'er Kavanagh | 67c | 1,817$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.3 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Lone'er Kavanagh | 31c | 1,701$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.42 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Brandon Royval | 63c | 1,688$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.11 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Lone'er Kavanagh | 60c | 1,670$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.64 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Brandon Royval | 55c | 1,649$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.86 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lone'er Kavanagh | 68c | 1,647$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.96 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…3badbacked Brandon Royval | 31c | 1,573$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38d…eb9abacked Brandon Royval | 58c | 1,565$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.8 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…0119backed Lone'er Kavanagh | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Lone'er Kavanagh | 67c | 1,492$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.72 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Brandon Royval | 34c | 1,479$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +64%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Lone'er Kavanagh | 67c | 1,416$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.74 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6530backed Brandon Royval | 32c | 1,392$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.63 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Brandon Royval | 33c | 1,255$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.65 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Brandon Royval | 33c | 1,251$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.55 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed Brandon Royval | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Brandon Royval | 35c | 1,210$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.3 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lone'er Kavanagh | 61c | 1,207$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.44 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked Brandon Royval | 58c | 1,200$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.65 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Brandon Royval | 60c | 1,182$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa476…8cfcbacked Lone'er Kavanagh | 70c | 1,164$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Brandon Royval | 31c | 1,149$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.89 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Lone'er Kavanagh | 69c | 1,147$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.68 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Brandon Royval | 44c | 1,128$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.72 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…b821backed Lone'er Kavanagh | 66c | 1,100$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Lone'er Kavanagh | 69c | 1,085$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…97acbacked Lone'er Kavanagh | 6c | 1,072$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4b…3963backed Lone'er Kavanagh | 66c | 1,066$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.51 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked Brandon Royval | 59c | 1,044$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.59 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…b574backed Lone'er Kavanagh | 69c | 1,014$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked Lone'er Kavanagh | 37c | 1,000$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Lone'er Kavanagh | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…2bafbacked Brandon Royval | 31c | 999.97$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.98 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Lone'er Kavanagh win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.