UFC · resolved market
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c8f0d7032eab68cfbfcd50bd36f4d2749851d8a13df42f15740e9ac3381fe4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- King Greenof King Green, Terrance McKinney
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $712,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $720,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $712,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 529 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked King Green | 53c | 191,993$101,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,490.21 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Terrance McKinney | 47c | 151,747$71,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,709.51 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Terrance McKinney | 50c | 100,103$49,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,920.51 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed King Green | 50c | 84,872$42,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,443.64 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed King Green | 52c | 48,126$24,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,211.17 | 200 | 48.5%97 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed King Green | 46c | 39,118$18,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,086.69 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…87debacked Terrance McKinney | 48c | 30,500$14,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,744.97 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Terrance McKinney | 6c | 29,839$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Terrance McKinney | 47c | 20,916$9,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,830.44 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed King Green | 51c | 20,000$10,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,900 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Terrance McKinney | 48c | 15,254$7,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,321.91 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Terrance McKinney | 52c | 13,144$6,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,782.86 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed King Green | 52c | 12,173$6,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,842.83 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed King Green | 21c | 11,263$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,949.5 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Terrance McKinney | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed King Green | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.99 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed King Green | 53c | 10,000$5,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,742.41 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Terrance McKinney | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.93 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Terrance McKinney | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.87 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed King Green | 51c | 8,070$4,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,994.29 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…acefbacked Terrance McKinney | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked King Green | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Terrance McKinney | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,839.99 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed King Green | 72c | 7,904$5,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.53 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Terrance McKinney | 54c | 7,897$4,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,264.84 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked King Green | 50c | 7,166$3,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,581.21 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed King Green | 50c | 7,140$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Terrance McKinney | 49c | 6,888$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,375.12 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed King Green | 50c | 6,437$3,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,218.47 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed King Green | 47c | 6,197$2,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,286.35 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38d…eb9abacked King Green | 15c | 6,123$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,214.72 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked King Green | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.97 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked King Green | 52c | 5,770$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.6 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Terrance McKinney | 47c | 5,451$2,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561.97 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Terrance McKinney | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8089…f935backed Terrance McKinney | 50c | 4,910$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.69 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fcf2backed Terrance McKinney | 51c | 4,788$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Terrance McKinney | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed King Green | 50c | 4,000$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.99 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…35b8backed King Green | 51c | 3,605$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.21 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0e…bd73backed Terrance McKinney | 51c | 3,604$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed King Green | 30c | 3,504$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.49 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Terrance McKinney | 48c | 3,500$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.98 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Terrance McKinney | 48c | 3,497$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.83 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfed2…4671backed Terrance McKinney | 59c | 3,202$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x740f…25adbacked King Green | 51c | 3,116$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed King Green | 21c | 3,100$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.13 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed King Green | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Terrance McKinney | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.99 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed06…3612backed Terrance McKinney | 1c | 2,851$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Terrance McKinney | 1c | 2,827$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Terrance McKinney | 54c | 2,568$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.72 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Terrance McKinney | 49c | 2,533$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.39 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Terrance McKinney | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Terrance McKinney | 47c | 2,470$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.72 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…72a3backed King Green | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed King Green | 18c | 2,383$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.48 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Terrance McKinney | 53c | 2,250$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…e13ebacked Terrance McKinney | 1c | 2,246$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Terrance McKinney | 48c | 2,222$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.56 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Terrance McKinney | 77c | 2,199$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.21 | 356 | 48.6%173 W · 183 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…0386backed King Green | 41c | 2,154$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.43 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked King Green | 51c | 2,136$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.63 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Terrance McKinney | 50c | 2,111$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.3 | 178 | 41.6%74 W · 104 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…c994backed Terrance McKinney | 64c | 2,010$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…4633backed Terrance McKinney | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…0119backed Terrance McKinney | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb045…d4cebacked King Green | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Terrance McKinney | 50c | 1,956$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.79 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b4…f97ebacked King Green | 13c | 1,923$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.08 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0671…0bfebacked Terrance McKinney | 50c | 1,909$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Terrance McKinney | 75c | 1,868$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.74 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Terrance McKinney | 50c | 1,856$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b12…d642backed King Green | 12c | 1,834$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.12 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Terrance McKinney | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Terrance McKinney | 71c | 1,672$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.48 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…e175backed King Green | 17c | 1,645$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.54 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Terrance McKinney | 48c | 1,615$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Terrance McKinney | 49c | 1,561$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked Terrance McKinney | 49c | 1,561$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Terrance McKinney | 50c | 1,556$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.55 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed King Green | 49c | 1,500$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed King Green | 51c | 1,470$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.28 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6530backed Terrance McKinney | 48c | 1,469$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.12 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed King Green | 14c | 1,462$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.11 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Terrance McKinney | 53c | 1,409$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.51 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…3624backed Terrance McKinney | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked King Green | 42c | 1,400$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.08 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Terrance McKinney | 57c | 1,316$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…5729backed Terrance McKinney | 50c | 1,304$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Terrance McKinney | 78c | 1,280$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked King Green | 53c | 1,100$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e00…ba80backed King Green | 19c | 1,050$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.96 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed King Green | 34c | 1,042$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.83 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked King Green | 52c | 1,040$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.01 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Terrance McKinney | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed King Green | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Terrance McKinney | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc0…c9e8backed King Green | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Terrance McKinney | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will King Green win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will Terrance McKinney win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.