TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,705,639
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,928,087

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,705,639 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,805 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37e0…024ebacked No68c430,062$292,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292,442.4610740.2%43 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6501…1220backed Yes36c375,789$135,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240,020.044667.4%31 W · 15 L+9.3wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+41.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Yes31c340,351$104,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235,745.87346.6%34 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86d2…731dbacked No69c265,766$183,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183,378.287343.8%32 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No61c214,215$130,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130,464.6674752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes37c203,413$74,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128,514.544,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Yes31c200,000$62,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137,999.9715552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No66c192,342$126,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126,663.62,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No69c130,980$90,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90,376.24858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes36c120,846$43,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,631.228,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed No69c100,000$69,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,999.752646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce80…9a82backed Yes32c99,361$31,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,565.63951.3%20 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+10.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No68c97,344$66,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,531.8329952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked No58c80,000$46,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,399.7738734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes31c64,767$20,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,671.6466846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked No69c50,072$34,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,5508952.8%47 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ab9…d821backed No69c43,523$30,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,0311770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x088b…21ccbacked Yes42c40,000$16,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,2005040%20 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No68c38,999$26,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,519.391,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f8…daa1backed Yes32c38,000$12,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,8402556%14 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99c4…18e7backed No53c35,136$18,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,567.1613037.7%49 W · 81 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes35c33,429$11,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,850.8564446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Yes32c30,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,40013742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No68c24,975$16,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,98376048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No46c22,577$10,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,305.472,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No62c21,888$13,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,669.2324441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes32c21,077$6,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,281.522,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No0c20,862$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5179231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No68c20,480$13,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,930.967269.4%50 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca6…9da8backed No0c20,035$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7617545.1%79 W · 96 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes41c19,607$8,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,567.8532031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No40c19,092$7,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,547.373,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb754…96dfbacked No59c18,644$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,0001040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Yes32c17,188$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,687.57545.3%34 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…04a9backed No59c16,949$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0002050%10 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xace4…bd19backed Yes32c15,650$5,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,6422842.9%12 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No65c15,642$10,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,142.991,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes32c15,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,20024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No62c13,663$8,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,470.891,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7225…659abacked Yes34c13,550$4,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,943.322846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes71c13,505$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,904.9623353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d67…ab42backed No68c13,279$9,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,029.862948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc468…3f67backed No0c13,200$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.211616.4%19 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick16cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f00…73cebacked Yes23c12,928$3,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,916.615728.1%16 W · 41 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200e…38b3backed Yes42c12,630$5,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,325.462437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd581…2b59backed Yes40c12,469$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,468.672138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Yes74c12,086$8,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,189.8323540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes35c12,043$4,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,769.642,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No19c11,579$2,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,203.0545039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes34c11,528$3,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,658.3618543.8%81 W · 104 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes67c11,376$7,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,733.8865948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes32c11,000$3,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,512.1325336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03cf…7260backed No46c9,124$4,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,165.986627.3%18 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No68c8,910$6,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,058.91,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc6c…425cbacked Yes53c8,679$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,079.254459.1%26 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes31c8,345$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,744.5924539.6%97 W · 148 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x819b…d996backed Yes24c8,272$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,271.5714546.9%68 W · 77 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed No2c8,215$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8444130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04c0…4f3dbacked Yes16c8,039$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,739.227632.9%25 W · 51 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51fc…128dbacked Yes34c7,991$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,291.078452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1af…c4d1backed No69c7,358$5,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,066.6317745.8%81 W · 96 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes61c6,919$4,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,671.636634.4%126 W · 240 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No57c6,806$3,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,860.5221738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes51c6,767$3,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,339.5692732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2246…4a14backed No69c6,421$4,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,430.492373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+30.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd760…f7f5backed Yes33c6,088$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,087.5210234.3%35 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No68c6,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,08047144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No68c6,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,08047643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No68c6,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,079.948441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeff8…68ebbacked Yes32c5,954$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,048.413237.1%49 W · 83 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes41c5,910$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,510.1727951.6%144 W · 135 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No46c5,752$2,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,620.292,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae94…6b17backed Yes45c5,700$2,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,12910956%61 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87f7…cb23backed Yes32c5,625$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,825887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick53cpaid+56.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked Yes18c5,499$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,488.49254.3%50 W · 42 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x323a…876fbacked Yes31c5,484$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,783.8712035%42 W · 78 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb43…4201backed Yes23c5,091$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9204546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No69c5,072$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.681,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7913…2c55backed No0c5,016$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No69c5,011$3,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,457.314075%30 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd744…526fbacked Yes30c5,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5003844.7%17 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+32.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No66c4,920$3,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,271.4284738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a71…a47ebacked Yes61c4,901$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,901.1711051.8%57 W · 53 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Yes23c4,571$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,519.4951032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b0e…0b82backed Yes32c4,500$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,06013542.2%57 W · 78 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x169d…fb3dbacked No2c4,496$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.93254%1 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed No69c4,463$3,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,079.2616152.2%84 W · 77 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed No68c4,400$2,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,99244144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1685…6de4backed Yes47c4,200$1,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,245.3427239%106 W · 166 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2106…4deabacked No69c4,200$2,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,877.9118843.6%82 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aec…2b9ebacked Yes34c4,093$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,701.596532.3%21 W · 44 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No69c4,004$2,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,762.714342.7%61 W · 82 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c08…5c69backed No68c4,000$2,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,72011552.2%60 W · 55 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No68c4,000$2,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7201,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2463…e21bbacked Yes32c4,000$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,73026836.9%99 W · 169 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2c1…a09ebacked Yes32c4,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7207444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No68c4,000$2,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,719.9630751.1%157 W · 150 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bf…f980backed Yes49c3,947$1,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.911538.3%44 W · 71 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-37.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes28c3,900$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,827.558926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes51c3,875$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,891.5231945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.