TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf67c…44ad

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
171
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT7042.9%30 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Molcan (-1.5) vs Fokina (+1.5)backed Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Wimbledon ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,526Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,526
Wimbledon WTA: Elsa Jacquemot vs Naomi Osakabacked Elsa Jacquemot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,044Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,044.39
Targu Mures: Felix Balshaw vs Sumit Nagalbacked Felix Balshaw · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.03
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Mackenzie McDonald vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Christopher O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.97
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Toby Samuel vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$132.49
Mallorca Championships: Adam Walton vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Roland Garros WTA: Tereza Valentova vs Magda Linettebacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.17
Roland Garros ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alexander Zverevbacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Nerman Fatic vs Kyrian Jacquetbacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+152.1%+$456.39
Geneva Open, Qualification: Daniel Galan vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$66.15
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Soon-Woo Kwonbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Istanbul: Alice Tubello vs Polina Kudermetovabacked Alice Tubello · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+236.6%+$236.63
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AHL: Hershey Bears vs. Lehigh Valley Phantomsbacked Hershey Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Rangers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+75.4%+$52.81
Canadiens vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$60
SHL: Linkoeping vs. Oerebro HKbacked Oerebro HK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
AHL: Charlotte Checkers vs. Lehigh Valley Phantomsbacked Lehigh Valley Phantoms · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Canucks vs. Krakenbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+96.9%+$96.86
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Bruins vs. Flamesbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Sabres vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Oilers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
AHL: Coachella Valley Firebirds vs. Henderson Silver Knightsbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Capitals vs. Devils: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+150%+$150
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+111.2%+$84.98
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)backed Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30
KHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. HC Dynamo Moscowbacked Dinamo Minsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+69.5%+$34.75
All 15 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Mario Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$276.19
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Rafael Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Arnold Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Daniel Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$26.77
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Joel Álvarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tim Elliott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Brando Pericic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Kevin Christian (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Kevin Christian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC Fight Night: Gerald Meerschaert vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Gerald Meerschaert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Vince Morales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Alexander Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.76
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+40.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Fingers Crossed (BO1)backed Fingers Crossed · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Counter-Strike: FUT Academy vs megoshort (BO3)backed FUT Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs FOKUS (BO3)backed Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$84
Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs Eternal Fire Academy (BO3)backed Sangal ALTERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs megoshort (BO3)backed HEROIC Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: FUT Academy vs AaB esport (BO3)backed FUT Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+300%+$120
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team buster (BO3)backed Team buster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+177.8%+$32
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Just Swing (BO3)backed Just Swing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs megoshort (BO3)backed MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team CS2NEWS (BO3)backed Team CS2NEWS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+194.1%+$23
Counter-Strike: WOPA Esport vs XI Esport (BO3)backed XI Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+300%+$120
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$244.83
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$222.58
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$156.12
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.56
Will UD Almería win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$38.43
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+69.5%+$20.85
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+84.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$79.53
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+203%+$121.82
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Will Gabon win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50.74
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+150%+$45
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+300%+$69
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-40.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-65.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+78.6%+$31.43
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Paris Basketballbacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Monaco vs. Real Madridbacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+61%+$15.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pittsburgh (-10.5)backed East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+122.2%+$73.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+110.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$110.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dundee United FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Macarthur FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.