College Football · resolved market
Spread: Pittsburgh (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91c05ebb6949e7bc3f6bd68998ddea2b4d8ccc21cf152b432405af87877434ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- East Carolinaof Pittsburgh, East Carolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pittsburgh | 54c | 115,956$62,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,231.42 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked East Carolina | 46c | 61,899$28,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,371.81 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed East Carolina | 48c | 16,203$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,425.6 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked East Carolina | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Pittsburgh | 53c | 9,900$5,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,296 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked East Carolina | 47c | 8,725$4,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,663.77 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked East Carolina | 47c | 8,100$3,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,332 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Pittsburgh | 2c | 7,171$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.89 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed East Carolina | 46c | 5,785$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,142.71 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed East Carolina | 42c | 3,078$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.24 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed East Carolina | 49c | 2,000$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pittsburgh | 3c | 1,941$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pittsburgh | 50c | 1,927$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.5 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked East Carolina | 46c | 1,901$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.23 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pittsburgh | 53c | 1,730$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.77 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked East Carolina | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed East Carolina | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Pittsburgh | 57c | 1,074$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.75 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed East Carolina | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +8.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked East Carolina | 8c | 960.77$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.29per pick | 11cpaid | +300%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…01babacked East Carolina | 48c | 958.33$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed East Carolina | 46c | 914.99$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.3 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed East Carolina | 42c | 899.99$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed East Carolina | 49c | 809.45$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.82 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed East Carolina | 47c | 728.44$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.35 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed East Carolina | 47c | 699.99$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.62 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed East Carolina | 45c | 560$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed East Carolina | 47c | 553.19$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed East Carolina | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed East Carolina | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a3…1259backed East Carolina | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…e887backed East Carolina | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd311…ecccbacked Pittsburgh | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked East Carolina | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked East Carolina | 47c | 389$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.51 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked East Carolina | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed East Carolina | 48c | 278.45$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.79 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked East Carolina | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed East Carolina | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed East Carolina | 47c | 197.43$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.26 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Pittsburgh | 54c | 168.76$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.33 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed East Carolina | 48c | 148.5$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.82 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…44adbacked East Carolina | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd05a…bf53backed East Carolina | 65c | 122.54$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked East Carolina | 39c | 110.71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.53 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh | 45c | 108.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed East Carolina | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Pittsburgh | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed East Carolina | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +125.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed East Carolina | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked East Carolina | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.26per pick | 29cpaid | +242.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Pittsburgh | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed East Carolina | 47c | 98.72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed East Carolina | 40c | 87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4291…b6bdbacked Pittsburgh | 60c | 83.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked East Carolina | 49c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Pittsburgh | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…b8e6backed East Carolina | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Pittsburgh | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked East Carolina | 43c | 58.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Pittsburgh | 53c | 51.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed East Carolina | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed East Carolina | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Pittsburgh | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed East Carolina | 46c | 49.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked East Carolina | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed East Carolina | 46c | 39.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pittsburgh | 31c | 36.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a93…7773backed East Carolina | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed East Carolina | 40c | 28.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pittsburgh (-10.5)this page
- O/U 56.5Under won
- Pittsburgh vs. East CarolinaEast Carolina won
- Pittsburgh vs. East Carolina: 1H MoneylinePittsburgh won
- Pittsburgh vs. East Carolina: O/U 52.5Under won
- Pittsburgh vs. East Carolina: O/U 53.5Under won
- Pittsburgh vs. East Carolina: O/U 55.5Under won
- Spread: Pittsburgh (-11.5)East Carolina won
- Spread: Pittsburgh (-12.5)East Carolina won
- Spread: Pittsburgh (-13.5)East Carolina won
- Spread: Pittsburgh (-9.5)East Carolina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.