TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Pittsburgh vs. East Carolina: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Pittsburghof Pittsburgh, East Carolina
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,537
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,687

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,537 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0432…1660backed Pittsburgh75c561.55$421 inWon+$140.399635.4%34 W · 62 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24a1…ba76backed East Carolina24c203.41$49 inLost-$48.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Pittsburgh77c200$154 inWon+$4639954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04a1…d6e6backed East Carolina23c200$46 inLost-$462846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked East Carolina25c195$49 inLost-$48.758749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked East Carolina25c176.56$44 inLost-$44.1458850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pittsburgh75c175.09$132 inWon+$43.4448546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked East Carolina19c96.56$18 inLost-$18.3547131.4%148 W · 323 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45cc…4b16backed Pittsburgh76c65.76$50 inWon+$15.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked East Carolina18c60.98$11 inLost-$10.9819051.6%98 W · 92 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0266…2957backed East Carolina67c55$37 inLost-$36.852060%12 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8df7…cca3backed Pittsburgh76c52.63$40 inWon+$12.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed East Carolina27c50$14 inLost-$13.53641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked East Carolina26c50$13 inLost-$137332.9%24 W · 49 L-7.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-32.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3134…8b95backed Pittsburgh76c20.59$16 inWon+$4.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x333f…4da2backed Pittsburgh76c14.5$11 inWon+$3.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.