TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Spread: Pittsburgh (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
East Carolinaof Pittsburgh, East Carolina
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$383,806
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$384,798

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $383,806 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2643…39aebacked Pittsburgh57c337,890$192,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192,754.762759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed East Carolina43c193,403$83,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110,239.5616234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked East Carolina43c100,000$43,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,0004163.4%26 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Pittsburgh58c25,106$14,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,487.6552449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked East Carolina43c21,164$9,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,153.8258850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked East Carolina43c15,000$6,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,549.9852641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked East Carolina43c8,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6008749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked East Carolina41c7,355$3,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,335.152,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Pittsburgh61c4,689$2,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,855.549457.4%54 W · 40 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked East Carolina42c4,651$1,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,704.9148546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9a10…543cbacked East Carolina44c3,237$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,812.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Pittsburgh58c2,500$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.741741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Pittsburgh52c2,138$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.0730%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked East Carolina43c2,100$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+43.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed East Carolina40c2,044$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.285549.1%27 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed East Carolina43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1402259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed East Carolina40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2002458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked East Carolina43c1,852$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.5349253.5%263 W · 229 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed East Carolina45c1,477$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.1711851.7%61 W · 57 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked East Carolina40c1,314$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.0319051.6%98 W · 92 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x273c…7a42backed East Carolina43c592.18$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.541163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e84…b7f6backed East Carolina45c591.2$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.711323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-51.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc034…3ff7backed Pittsburgh59c555.45$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.931060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9934…6078backed East Carolina40c528.48$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3161266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd6f…e887backed East Carolina42c508.02$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.511747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Pittsburgh57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2852642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh9c472.41$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5162843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed East Carolina45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.448752.9%46 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed East Carolina43c431.15$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.3865945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8333…eb93backed East Carolina44c417$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.524100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93a7…8db6backed Pittsburgh7c400$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28944.4%4 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.36per pick8cpaid+385.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5912…2fe0backed Pittsburgh58c345.63$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002450%12 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed East Carolina44c256.2$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.474959.2%29 W · 20 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+36.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Pittsburgh38c236.56$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed East Carolina44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.27933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf527…366bbacked East Carolina44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.271435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed East Carolina44c218.25$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2211545.2%52 W · 63 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Pittsburgh55c207.39$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3918338.8%71 W · 112 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed East Carolina44c204.17$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.6828440.8%116 W · 168 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Pittsburgh54c193.39$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6912346.3%57 W · 66 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked East Carolina50c191.12$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.766051.7%31 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed East Carolina42c164.29$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.297553.3%40 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed East Carolina43c150$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.51637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pittsburgh20c148.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2363243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Pittsburgh37c125$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463759.5%22 W · 15 L+7.6wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+600.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed East Carolina49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb796…58a8backed Pittsburgh57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed East Carolina46c93.78$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.83066.7%20 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked East Carolina46c93.64$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.661471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+27.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf132…8e5abacked East Carolina43c93.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.021060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed East Carolina39c92.09$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.0226939.8%107 W · 162 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed East Carolina46c87.39$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.392060%12 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+29.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked East Carolina66c82$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2457144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pittsburgh54c80$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.410850.9%55 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0915…d08abacked East Carolina41c80$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.24055%22 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x394d…6d80backed East Carolina46c70.71$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.42757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ca…36f7backed East Carolina46c70.71$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.42757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x100a…cb02backed East Carolina46c70.71$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.42757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b29…47b2backed East Carolina46c70.71$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.42757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38d7…43b2backed East Carolina46c70.71$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.42757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ae…7269backed East Carolina46c70.71$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.42757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8610…fa01backed East Carolina46c70.71$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.42757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd2…716abacked East Carolina46c70.71$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.42757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe959…578bbacked East Carolina46c70.71$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.42757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb1…1129backed East Carolina46c70.71$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.42850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed East Carolina72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.44450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed East Carolina44c68.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0254243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed East Carolina49c65.87$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.924050%20 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0fd…5903backed Pittsburgh61c65.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbdcd…b8e6backed East Carolina42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.81855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked East Carolina41c60$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.527443.2%32 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed East Carolina28c53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1612755.9%71 W · 56 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked East Carolina53c52.49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.924736.2%17 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x313d…6f98backed Pittsburgh59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304261.9%26 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed East Carolina45c50.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.568751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x156f…6887backed Pittsburgh70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked East Carolina44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287332.9%24 W · 49 L-7.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-32.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed East Carolina44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+43.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x756d…04a9backed East Carolina42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.621154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5384…7408backed East Carolina44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.453141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed East Carolina30c45.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.942244%9 W · 215 L-0.5wins0.00per pick4cpaid-74.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked East Carolina50c43.06$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.533745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x097f…df92backed East Carolina46c41.89$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.621942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3bd…2bf8backed East Carolina46c41.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.413240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked East Carolina45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.074445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97b8…0f5dbacked East Carolina44c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f2…1415backed East Carolina44c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3738…32a4backed Pittsburgh57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Pittsburgh57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203764.9%24 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Pittsburgh45c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4220553.7%110 W · 95 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Pittsburgh32c31.91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1426940.5%109 W · 160 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdee7…6096backed Pittsburgh66c20.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.