College Football · resolved market
Spread: Pittsburgh (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62062661e2e9d71e79555117253a3b7db70c9a30c361b75fa4bcab188ebf8ccc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- East Carolinaof Pittsburgh, East Carolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $623,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $934,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $623,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed East Carolina | 53c | 310,084$163,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146,359.62 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pittsburgh | 47c | 112,013$52,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,646.05 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Pittsburgh | 47c | 100,904$47,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,433.92 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pittsburgh | 48c | 28,500$13,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,676.4 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Pittsburgh | 48c | 20,619$9,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,896.91 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pittsburgh | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pittsburgh | 47c | 12,992$6,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,106.32 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Pittsburgh | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Pittsburgh | 48c | 5,737$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,751.85 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Pittsburgh | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Pittsburgh | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…0b5fbacked East Carolina | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked East Carolina | 53c | 566.99$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.49 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed East Carolina | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed East Carolina | 53c | 302$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.94 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Pittsburgh | 48c | 118.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Pittsburgh | 48c | 109.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Pittsburgh | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…b051backed East Carolina | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Pittsburgh | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd05a…bf53backed East Carolina | 58c | 40.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pittsburgh | 38c | 30.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Pittsburgh | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pittsburgh | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5e…b7e4backed East Carolina | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pittsburgh (-13.5)this page
- O/U 56.5Under won
- Pittsburgh vs. East CarolinaEast Carolina won
- Pittsburgh vs. East Carolina: 1H MoneylinePittsburgh won
- Pittsburgh vs. East Carolina: O/U 52.5Under won
- Pittsburgh vs. East Carolina: O/U 53.5Under won
- Pittsburgh vs. East Carolina: O/U 55.5Under won
- Spread: Pittsburgh (-10.5)East Carolina won
- Spread: Pittsburgh (-11.5)East Carolina won
- Spread: Pittsburgh (-12.5)East Carolina won
- Spread: Pittsburgh (-9.5)East Carolina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.