College Football · resolved market
Pittsburgh vs. East Carolina: O/U 53.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a4514991fbcff24154fcbbff0f59420e7f48c1ebc7949478ef2d87fd3e6ebbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 3c | 56,318$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.94 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,319.99 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 4c | 7,600$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.76 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 0c | 5,999$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Under | 52c | 3,191$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.15 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 52c | 2,773$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.71 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Over | 13c | 1,883$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.81 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 55c | 1,820$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.98 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 1,344$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.4 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 3c | 1,284$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 3c | 1,152$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Over | 47c | 352.02$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…1eacbacked Over | 50c | 157.69$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 95.07$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 50c | 89.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 46c | 71.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 53c | 52.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…bebdbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 53c | 42.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…2b28backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…6494backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh vs. East Carolina: O/U 53.5this page
- O/U 56.5Under won
- Pittsburgh vs. East CarolinaEast Carolina won
- Pittsburgh vs. East Carolina: 1H MoneylinePittsburgh won
- Pittsburgh vs. East Carolina: O/U 52.5Under won
- Pittsburgh vs. East Carolina: O/U 55.5Under won
- Spread: Pittsburgh (-10.5)East Carolina won
- Spread: Pittsburgh (-11.5)East Carolina won
- Spread: Pittsburgh (-12.5)East Carolina won
- Spread: Pittsburgh (-13.5)East Carolina won
- Spread: Pittsburgh (-9.5)East Carolina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.