TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

San Francisco Dons vs. Seattle Redhawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
San Francisco Donsof San Francisco Dons, Seattle Redhawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,357
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,459

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,357 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ada…2f28backed Seattle Redhawks1c4,927$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2720548.8%100 W · 105 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Seattle Redhawks21c3,622$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.231,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Seattle Redhawks57c2,161$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.122,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…3f41backed Seattle Redhawks17c1,814$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-56.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Seattle Redhawks21c1,631$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34619237%71 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Seattle Redhawks57c1,296$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.521,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Dons63c1,244$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.923,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked San Francisco Dons42c1,200$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.99616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Dons60c961.75$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.595,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb52e…cdcebacked Seattle Redhawks47c858.91$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.461421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-54%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Seattle Redhawks56c779.99$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.81,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Seattle Redhawks34c699.99$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.71010%1 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-74.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Seattle Redhawks50c519.25$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.636443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed San Francisco Dons44c482.53$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.221,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed San Francisco Dons76c443.18$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.392,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed San Francisco Dons42c442.37$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.573644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Seattle Redhawks19c411.61$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4355657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Seattle Redhawks52c352$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.6816056.9%91 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Seattle Redhawks3c332.64$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.188341%34 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed San Francisco Dons42c304.31$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.549043.1%211 W · 279 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed San Francisco Dons44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16882048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked San Francisco Dons65c279.89$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.024,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Seattle Redhawks36c263.83$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9645644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked San Francisco Dons44c255.42$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.0452928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed San Francisco Dons43c250$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.549746.5%231 W · 266 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Seattle Redhawks55c233$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.8348462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf67c…44adbacked San Francisco Dons44c227.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Seattle Redhawks11c221.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.622,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked San Francisco Dons43c216$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.127553.3%40 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed San Francisco Dons60c198.26$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.731,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked San Francisco Dons69c183.83$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5232343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked San Francisco Dons74c175.5$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.911080%8 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Dons73c171.49$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.781,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed San Francisco Dons43c162$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.346544.6%29 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed San Francisco Dons44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked San Francisco Dons42c144.11$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c9…bacfbacked Seattle Redhawks21c127.93$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.952737%10 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed San Francisco Dons80c125.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.379871.4%70 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed San Francisco Dons47c121.23$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Seattle Redhawks53c119.78$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2710447.1%49 W · 55 L-14.7wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-24.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed San Francisco Dons43c117.31$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6721535.3%76 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed San Francisco Dons43c116$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.126750.7%34 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed San Francisco Dons43c110$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.76950.7%35 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x981c…7f14backed Seattle Redhawks52c104.91$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.062138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Seattle Redhawks19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7564322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ab…361bbacked Seattle Redhawks41c96.66$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.99821.4%21 W · 77 L-17.7wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-55.5%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Seattle Redhawks26c80.11$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.854,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Francisco Dons43c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.61,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9226…656cbacked Seattle Redhawks27c77.36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Seattle Redhawks53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405738.6%22 W · 35 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-24.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Seattle Redhawks20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.752,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Seattle Redhawks32c71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.483,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed San Francisco Dons44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed San Francisco Dons45c56.6$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1348051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e1…9de8backed San Francisco Dons64c54.88$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.761346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72e4…0369backed San Francisco Dons44c53.3$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.859838.8%38 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked San Francisco Dons42c49.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.995735.1%20 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c4f…73a6backed Seattle Redhawks57c49$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.934344.2%19 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb99f…f99fbacked San Francisco Dons62c48.59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.59540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d78…4756backed Seattle Redhawks57c45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.652853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…5192backed Seattle Redhawks57c45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.652356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe1…e560backed Seattle Redhawks57c44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.083756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60dc…9a3ebacked Seattle Redhawks57c41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.372552%13 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc789…3907backed Seattle Redhawks57c41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.373360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Seattle Redhawks50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202650%13 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77ec…4f9cbacked Seattle Redhawks57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.82650%13 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked San Francisco Dons73c38.34$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4411743.6%51 W · 66 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd253…14d9backed Seattle Redhawks57c38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.661850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa852…d55dbacked Seattle Redhawks32c37.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.08944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba8…bc05backed San Francisco Dons44c36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.16650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+26.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a9…f72ebacked Seattle Redhawks57c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.952955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce96…ff5cbacked Seattle Redhawks57c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.952948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee35…11ecbacked Seattle Redhawks58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Seattle Redhawks58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204318.6%8 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce04…9496backed Seattle Redhawks58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf06a…cfdabacked Seattle Redhawks57c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.383161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49d7…1635backed Seattle Redhawks62c32.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b05…25dfbacked San Francisco Dons52c30.88$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.885540%22 W · 33 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed San Francisco Dons51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.71,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9a7…261bbacked Seattle Redhawks57c28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.963844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83d7…f2d1backed Seattle Redhawks57c27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.393464.7%22 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed San Francisco Dons43c27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2711344.2%50 W · 63 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac7a…414fbacked Seattle Redhawks57c26.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.29per pick48cpaid-57%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Seattle Redhawks49c25.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6244955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed San Francisco Dons50c25.59$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7710049%49 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x859a…1ccebacked Seattle Redhawks57c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.682445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Seattle Redhawks54c22.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9715037.3%56 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf9…142bbacked Seattle Redhawks57c22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.543860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x480a…e3c9backed Seattle Redhawks57c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.973663.9%23 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ca0…7ebebacked Seattle Redhawks56c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.764748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb16…9757backed San Francisco Dons63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.