Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36ba34011aba34897bb03ced4f88402065e9a7d01942da7f25ad2e7fb51842a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daniel Merida Aguilarof Camilo Ugo Carabelli, Daniel Merida Aguilar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $830,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $802,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $830,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc53c…b769backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 63c | 205,167$129,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,315.2 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 33c | 181,999$60,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,885.97 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 70c | 95,097$67,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,078.12 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 40c | 59,597$23,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,877.55 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 39c | 28,163$11,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,056.68 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 63c | 27,661$17,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,193.9 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…67ffbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 67c | 20,067$13,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,614.81 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 58c | 16,862$9,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,843.03 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 45c | 14,564$6,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,553.77 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 54c | 13,870$7,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,335.16 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 45c | 13,493$6,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,059.16 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 64c | 12,000$7,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320.18 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 32c | 10,858$3,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,429.28 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 40c | 10,000$3,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,012.2 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…d98abacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 65c | 8,230$5,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,896.87 | 249 | 62.2%155 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc3…c0eabacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 647 | 55.2%357 W · 290 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 1c | 6,500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 39c | 6,029$2,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.64 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…a041backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 36c | 4,836$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,078.53 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…44adbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 45c | 4,555$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.39 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 69c | 4,453$3,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.46 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 49c | 4,433$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 49c | 4,286$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 175 | 56.6%99 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 45c | 4,010$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.59 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 55c | 3,483$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.29 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 18c | 3,288$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.29 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 69c | 3,145$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.18 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd578…aca3backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…910dbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 35c | 2,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 39c | 2,797$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.04 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 40c | 2,681$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.88 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 34c | 2,677$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.39 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 40c | 2,649$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.26 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 33c | 2,595$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.21 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 23c | 2,498$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.85 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 47c | 2,468$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.26 | 801 | 53.1%425 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 56c | 2,459$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.93 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 44c | 2,419$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.33 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf3…7513backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 17c | 2,340$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 47c | 2,326$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.48 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 11c | 2,287$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.58 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 44c | 2,171$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.69 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 47c | 2,000$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.16 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 34c | 1,931$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.71 | 390 | 46.4%181 W · 209 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 50c | 1,869$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.33 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd2…fa7fbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 40c | 1,808$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.32 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2080…d262backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 53c | 1,701$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.55 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 41c | 1,663$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687 | 314 | 36.9%116 W · 198 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d4…e1d2backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 61c | 1,612$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.55 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…c7afbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 63c | 1,593$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.81 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c74…3c0dbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 64c | 1,567$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.41 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 59c | 1,556$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.13 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 66c | 1,521$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.89 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 41c | 1,450$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.93 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 73c | 1,364$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.29 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 37c | 1,363$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.09 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 38c | 1,360$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.11 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 65c | 1,309$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.79 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 45c | 1,198$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.25 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc751…957cbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 38c | 1,159$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.6 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 32c | 1,137$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.73 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 18c | 1,135$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 43c | 1,127$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.33 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 39c | 1,124$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.1 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 42c | 1,074$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.9 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 45c | 1,062$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 24c | 1,015$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.78 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 51c | 1,013$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.22 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 45c | 1,013$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.7 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 33c | 979.14$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.04 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 77c | 778.82$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.82 | 447 | 51.7%231 W · 216 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 66c | 757.57$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 110 | 64.5%71 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 46c | 750.34$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.26 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 18c | 750$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.5 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 41c | 733$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.06 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 13c | 724.65$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 227 | 23.8%54 W · 173 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007c…82fdbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 33c | 711.97$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.02 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 69c | 700$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.33 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 59c | 672.4$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.4 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 45c | 667$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.15 | 296 | 49.7%147 W · 149 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 60c | 620.33$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.02 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 42c | 616.93$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.9 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 34c | 605.16$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.77 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 67c | 591.16$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 40c | 563.09$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.99 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 44c | 544.11$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 40c | 536.88$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.22 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…9b78backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 69c | 536.32$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.03 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x735c…55edbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 38c | 526.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.31 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…3394backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 50c | 525.98$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.44 | 334 | 62.6%209 W · 125 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 62c | 525$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.22 | 263 | 55.1%145 W · 118 L | +36.9wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 46c | 509.51$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.88 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 28c | 499.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.5 | 250 | 51.2%128 W · 122 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 32c | 493.03$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.68 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf6…b29fbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 48c | 491.43$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.17 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 33c | 467.56$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.57 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilarthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Carabelli vs AguilarCarabelli won
- Set 2 Winner: Carabelli vs AguilarCarabelli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.